Forecasts
Nio (NYSE: NIO) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 (July 17)

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The tariff-driven market volatility has been rough on shares of Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker Nio Inc. (NYSE: NIO), which in April fell to a multiyear low of $3.02. Though shares rebounded afterward, they are now down 5.7% year to date, despite an 11.2% pop in the past week after strong June delivery numbers. Nio reported a solid increase in deliveries in the first and second quarters, following the launch of its new mass-market brands, Onvo and Firefly.
Nio is the third-largest electric vehicle company in China and the first to pioneer swappable battery packs.
Due to new product launches and growing market share, 24/7 Wall St. projects significant gains for the stock by the end of the decade.
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The stock is now trading just 1.2% lower than six months ago. Compared to a year ago, Nio’s share price is down 16.1%. Analyst sentiment remains fairly cautious, with 13 of 27 of them recommending buying shares. Their mean price target has ticked down to $4.73, but that suggests they see 15% or so upside in the next 12 months. Note that the high price target is all the way up at $8.18. Goldman Sachs recently upgraded its rating to Neutral. Mizuho recently reiterated its Neutral rating on the shares, and it has a $3.50 price target. Barclays maintained its Underweight rating with a $3.00 target. But Morgan Stanley reiterated its Buy rating.
There are some encouraging tailwinds for shareholders, though. The Chinese carmaker’s high-performance models, which feature a +600-mile range, have caught the eye of vehicle enthusiasts and investors, while addressing range anxiety issues by creating battery swap technology as a supplement to charging. Nio is a leading electric vehicle manufacturer in China and has been expanding its presence internationally.
From a stock performance standpoint, Nio has been a tale of two stories. When shares debuted on the New York Stock Exchange on Sept. 12, 2018, at $9.90, they struggled to build momentum. Not until the summer of 2020 did the stock begin to surge, gaining over 810% from June 26, 2020, to Feb. 9, 2021, when the stock hit its all-time high of $62.84. Shares have fallen considerably since then, but the long-term outlook remains strong.
24/7 Wall St. aims to provide readers with our assumptions about the stock’s prospects going forward, what growth we see in Nio stock for the next several years, and what our best estimates are for Nio’s stock price each year through 2030.
The following is a table of Nio’s revenues, operating income, and share price for its first few years as a public company.
Year | Share Price (End of Year) |
Revenues (CNY)* | Operating Income* |
2018 | $5.39 | 4,951.2 | (9,595.6) |
2019 | $3.45 | 7,824.9 | (11,079.2) |
2020 | $40.00 | 16,257.9 | (4,607.6) |
2021 | $16.70 | 36,136.4 | (4,496.3) |
2022 | $7.87 | 49,268.6 | (15,640.7) |
2023 | $4.71 | 55,617.9 | (22,655.2) |
*Revenue and operating income in Billion CNY (1CNY=.14 USD)
Now let’s take a look at Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ: RIVN) in the first few years it was a publicly traded company (here is Rivian’s stock price forecast):
Year | Share Price (End of Year) |
Revenues | Operating Income |
2021 | $50.24 | $5.67 | ($0.71) |
2022 | $19.30 | $7.14 | ($2.27) |
2023 | $10.70 | $7.83 | ($3.19) |
2024 | $4.36 | $9.00 | ($2.99) |
Revenues and operating income in billions
Both firms have shown similar revenue growth, but Rivian’s annual operating losses are more than double those of Nio.
Nio formerly contracted its manufacturing to Jianghuai Automobile Group, paying a fee for each vehicle produced in addition to fixed costs. The company has since acquired the factory from JAC. This agreement was beneficial for a young start-up in a very capital-intensive market. However, once scale is reached, the variable cost model has its downsides.
Product Portfolio Expansion and Growing Market Share
Increased Vehicle Deliveries and Market Penetration
Advancements in Technology and Customer Experience
Year | Revenue* | Shares Outstanding | P/S Est. |
2025 | 97,052 | 2,050 mm | 1x |
2026 | 114,172 | 2,050 mm | 1x |
2027 | 134,643 | 2,050 mm | 1.5x |
2028 | 257,634 | 2,050 mm | 1.5x |
2029 | 176,533 | 2,050 mm | 1.5x |
2030 | 189,548 | 2,050 mm | 2x |
*Revenue in CNY millions
Compared to Rivian and Tesla, Nio’s price-to-sales valuation will be moderately discounted. While Nio is in solid financial standing and has a premium brand image, it remains uncertain how much competition the company will face both in China and as it expands overseas. The company is already spending a quarter of revenues on R&D and if Nio cannot capitalize on this spend, the stock price will be sluggish compared to North American EV manufacturers.
As mentioned, Wall Street analysts give Nio a one-year price target of $4.73. That represents 15.1% upside potential from the current share price. At 24/7 Wall St., we expect to see revenue growth of 60% for the year, with a price-to-sales multiple of 1x, which puts our year-end price target at $4.21. That would be a gain of 2.4% from today’s share price.
For 2030, we estimate Nio’s stock price to be $23.56 per share. Our estimated share price would be 577.0% higher than the current one.
Here is a look at our projections for the years in between:
Year | Price Target | Upside |
2025 | $4.21 | 2.4% |
2026 | $6.12 | 48.9% |
2027 | $13.80 | 235.8% |
2028 | $24.01 | 484.2% |
2029 | $16.45 | 300.2% |
2030 | $23.56 | 473.2% |
Rivian Automotive Stock Price Prediction for 2025: Where Will It Be in 1 Year
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