Prediction Market Results: Obama Versus Romney

By Jon C. Ogg Published Jan 4, 3:55PM EST

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Do Prediction Markets translate to the same sort of investing markets as the stock market? It depends upon whom you ask and we wanted to give an unbiased look at the current horse race for teh White House in 2012. All you have to do is to track the daily results on Intrade.com, where real money is committed on potential real life events that are not always financial events. The presidential election is a key prediction market at Intrade.

While the Mitt Romney victory in the Iowa caucus was by a hair and while his Intrade market value is down about 1 point today, the Mitt Romney’s current chance of winning the Republican nomination is about 81.5%.

The other side of the coin is that Barrack Obama’s chance of being re-elected as President is 51.3%.

As far as the current Intrade statistics go in general they are as follows: Democrats 51.7% versus 46.0% for the Republicans. Those figures will likely change daily as there are more than ten months left until election day.

In order to see how these fluctuate through time, we have included a chart for Romney and a Chart for Obama:

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Disclaimer: Energy Exploration Technologies, Inc. ("EnergyX") has engaged 24/7 Wall St to publish this communication in connection with EnergyX's ongoing Regulation A offering. 24/7 Wall St has been paid in cash and may receive additional compensation. 24/7 Wall St and/or its affiliates do not currently hold securities of EnergyX.

This compensation and any current or future ownership interest could create a conflict of interest. Please consider this disclosure alongside EnergyX's offering materials. EnergyX's Regulation A offering has been qualified by the SEC. Offers and sales may be made only by means of the qualified offering circular. Before investing, carefully review the offering circular, including the risk factors. The offering circular is available at invest.energyx.com/.

Comparisons to other companies are for informational purposes only and should not imply similar results. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market shortfall are forward‑looking estimates and are subject to substantial uncertainty. Investments in private placements, and start-up investments in particular, are long-term, illiquid, speculative and involve a high degree of risk and those investors who cannot afford to lose their entire investment should not invest in start-ups

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. www.247wallst.com.