Why Applied Digital Is Soaring Over 35% Right Now

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By Joel South Published

Key Points

  • Applied Digital signed a 15-year, 400 MW lease with CoreWeave worth $11 billion.

  • Shares are up more than 35% as analysts raise targets and investors reposition APLD as a serious AI infrastructure provider.

  • The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 stocks and Applied Digital wasn't one of them. Get them here FREE.

Why Applied Digital Is Soaring Over 35% Right Now

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Applied Digital (Nasdaq: APLD) shares soared more than 35% this morning, rallying sharply after the company posted fiscal Q4 2025 results last night and revealed a massive leasing deal with CoreWeave (Nasdaq:CRWV), a leading AI infrastructure company. Revenue came in at $38 million, beating consensus estimates of $37.12 million, while the company reported an adjusted EPS loss of $0.03, much better than the anticipated $0.16 loss.

This post-earnings spike reflects growing investor confidence in Applied Digital’s ability to scale its AI-focused data center operations — and validates its transition from a niche player to a more serious hyperscale infrastructure provider.

Why The Stock Is Ripping

The main driver of the stock’s surge was the announcement of a 15-year lease agreement with CoreWeave to deliver 250 megawatts of capacity at Applied Digital’s flagship Polaris Forge 1 campus in North Dakota. CoreWeave has already exercised an option for another 150 megawatts, bringing the total to 400 megawatts under contract — a deal expected to generate $11 billion in revenue over its term.

CEO Wes Cummins called the lease a “defining moment,” noting that it positions Applied as a category leader in building hyperscale “AI factories.” The company also said it has completed the onboarding process with two additional investment-grade hyperscalers and is in advanced negotiations for more large-scale campus leases.

Applied Digital will begin recognizing revenue from the Polaris Forge 1 technical fit-out as early as this quarter — even before the lease revenue kicks in — providing a short-term financial lift. Executives also highlighted improvements in build timelines (cut nearly in half to 12–14 months), an optimized supply chain, and an ability to deliver capacity faster than peers — all while capitalizing on low-cost, energy-efficient sites in the Dakotas.

Applied Digital expects to break ground on one or two new campuses before the end of 2025, and it raised $270 million post-quarter to support project financing and growth.

Wall Street Is Taking Note

Wall Street is responding quickly to Applied Digital’s execution. This morning two notable actions stood out:

  • Kevin Dede (H.C. Wainwright) raised his price target from $12 to $15, reiterating his Buy rating.

  • John Todaro (Needham) also raised his price target with a Buy rating and a $16 price target.

They join a chorus of bullish analysts who are on the hype train. APLD has a consensus Buy rating with a mean price target of $17.22, according to S&P Capital IQ.

Wall Street now views APLD not as a speculative AI adjacent player, but as a potential hyperscale infrastructure backbone provider for the AI era. With a multibillion-dollar runway and more hyperscaler deals in the pipeline, the re-rating may just be getting started.

Photo of Joel South
About the Author Joel South →

Joel South covers large-cap stocks, dividend investing, and major market trends, with a focus on earnings analysis, valuation, and turning complex data into actionable insights for investors.

He brings more than 15 years of experience as an investor and financial journalist, including 12 years at The Motley Fool, where he served as an investment analyst, Bureau Chief, and later led the Fool.com investing news desk. He has also co-hosted an investing podcast and appeared across TV and radio discussing market trends.

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