Wall Street’s $138.56 Price Target Makes United Airlines’ Sell-off Look Like a Buying Opportunity

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• United Airlines (UAL) reported record 2025 revenue of $59.07 billion with premium revenue growing 11% and loyalty revenue growing 9%, outpacing overall revenue growth of 3.52%, while Jefferies maintained a Buy rating with a $125 price target despite raising Q1 fuel cost estimates by 14% and Q2 estimates by 30% following a 50% spike in jet fuel prices.

• United faces near-term pressure from elevated jet fuel costs after a roughly 50% spike from January 2025 levels, but Jefferies’ bull case hinges on fuel prices normalizing in the second half of 2026 as geopolitical pressures ease, allowing the airline’s high-margin premium and loyalty businesses to drive earnings expansion.

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