REM’s 9.6% dividend yield faces a test as mortgage spreads narrow in 2026

Photo of David Beren
By David Beren Published

Quick Read

  • iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF (REM) yields 9.22% with $545M in assets, heavily concentrated in Annaly Capital Management (NLY) at 22% and AGNC Investment (AGNC) at 14%, with both covering 2025 dividends at roughly 1.0x earnings ratios as their net interest spreads expanded year-over-year. Starwood Property Trust (STWD), the third-largest holding at 8%, failed to cover its $1.92 annualized dividend with 2025 distributable earnings of $1.69 per share.

  • REM’s income sustainability depends on mortgage REIT profitability, which requires a steep enough yield curve to support net interest margins; the Fed’s pause at 3.75% keeps short-term funding costs elevated while the current 10-year-2-year spread of 0.5% has narrowed from recent highs, pressuring the agency and non-agency mREIT portfolios that comprise REM’s holdings.

  • The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks. Get them here FREE.

This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
REM’s 9.6% dividend yield faces a test as mortgage spreads narrow in 2026

© mayu85 / Shutterstock.com

iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) carries a 9.22% dividend yield and $545 million in net assets, making it one of the more accessible ways to own a basket of mortgage REITs. The fund’s appeal rests on a business model sensitive to one variable: the spread between what mREITs earn on mortgage assets and what they pay to borrow. With the Fed paused at 3.75% and the 10-year Treasury around 4.29%, that spread is narrow.

How REM Generates Income

REM owns shares in mortgage real estate investment trusts, which borrow at short-term rates and invest in mortgage-backed securities or loans. The income REM distributes comes from dividends paid by those mREITs, which derive from the net interest spread those companies earn on their portfolios.

The fund holds 35 positions, concentrated almost entirely in financials at 98% of the portfolio. The top two holdings, Annaly Capital Management and AGNC Investment, represent 36% of the fund. What happens to those two companies largely determines what REM pays out.

The portfolio splits into two camps. Agency mREITs like Annaly and AGNC invest in securities backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae, carrying no credit risk but significant interest rate risk. Non-agency and commercial mortgage REITs, such as Starwood Property Trust, carry both credit and rate risk. REM holds both, providing diversification within mortgage finance.

The Two Largest Holdings

Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY) is REM’s largest position at 22% of the fund. Annaly paid a $0.70 quarterly dividend throughout 2025 and covered it with full-year earnings available for distribution of $2.92 per share against an annual dividend of $2.80 per share. The coverage ratio of 1.04x is thin but positive. The net interest spread expanded from 0.4% to 0.9% year over year by Q4 2025, and book value per share grew from $19 to $20. The company raised $2.90 billion in capital during 2025 and grew its Agency MBS portfolio by 32%.

The risk for Annaly is leverage. GAAP leverage reached 7.1x in Q2 2025 before management pulled it back. A sustained rise in short-term funding costs or a sharp widening of the MBS spread can compress the net interest spread quickly. Annaly acknowledged post-quarter MBS spread widening but noted that its leverage was at its lowest in a decade entering 2025, providing a buffer.

AGNC Investment (NASDAQ:AGNC) holds 14% of REM and pays a $0.12 monthly dividend, or $1.44 annualized, and its full-year 2025 EPS came in at $1.47, covering the dividend at roughly 1.02x. The net interest spread moved to 1.8% in Q4 2025 from 2.1% in Q1. The Q2 2025 GAAP loss of -$0.17 per share illustrates how mark-to-market volatility can distort headline earnings in a given quarter.

Starwood and Non-Agency Exposure

Starwood Property Trust (NYSE:STWD) is REM’s third-largest holding at roughly 8% and operates differently from the agency-focused top two. It is a diversified commercial and residential lender with infrastructure lending and special servicing. The quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share has been maintained for over a decade. Full-year 2025 distributable EPS was $1.69 against an annualized dividend of $1.92, meaning earnings did not fully cover the payout. With roughly $499 million in cash and a $400 million buyback program, Starwood has liquidity, but the dividend coverage gap warrants attention.

The Rate Environment

The yield curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury sits at 0.5 percent, down from a recent high earlier this year. mREIT profitability depends on borrowing short and earning long. A steeper curve means wider net interest margins; a flatter one squeezes them. The current 0.5 percent spread is above inversion territory but meaningfully below where it was just a few months ago.

The Fed cut rates 75 basis points from September through December 2025, then paused at 3.75 percent for over four months. That pause has kept short-term funding costs elevated relative to what mREITs earn on longer-duration assets. Additional cuts would steepen the curve and expand margins; a continued hold keeps the environment challenging.

Is the Dividend Safe?

REM’s income is only as safe as the dividends from its underlying holdings. Annaly and AGNC both covered their dividends with earnings in 2025, delivering strong economic returns and growing their portfolios. Starwood’s coverage was thinner. The macro setup, a Fed on pause with a modestly positive but compressing yield curve, is not ideal for mREITs, but it is not catastrophic either.

The primary risk is renewed yield curve flattening or an unexpected spike in short-term funding costs that compresses net interest margins faster than management can respond. Agency mREITs hedge with interest rate swaps, which provide some protection but also cost money and do not eliminate risk entirely.

REM’s 0.48 percent expense ratio and 24 percent annual portfolio turnover are reasonable for a specialty ETF. The fund holds about 35 positions, which reduces single-name risk, but the sector concentration at 98 percent financials means REM moves with the mortgage REIT sector as a whole.

Photo of David Beren
About the Author David Beren →

David Beren has been a Flywheel Publishing contributor since 2022. Writing for 24/7 Wall St. since 2023, David loves to write about topics of all shapes and sizes. As a technology expert, David focuses heavily on consumer electronics brands, automobiles, and general technology. He has previously written for LifeWire, formerly About.com. As a part-time freelance writer, David’s “day job” has been working on and leading social media for multiple Fortune 100 brands. David loves the flexibility of this field and its ability to reach customers exactly where they like to spend their time. Additionally, David previously published his own blog, TmoNews.com, which reached 3 million readers in its first year. In addition to freelance and social media work, David loves to spend time with his family and children and relive the glory days of video game consoles by playing any retro game console he can get his hands on.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

ORCL Vol: 49,996,992
FICO Vol: 636,666
CDNS Vol: 2,648,851
KKR
KKR Vol: 6,904,183
IT Vol: 1,651,096

Top Losing Stocks

FAST Vol: 16,217,270
CAG Vol: 26,902,854
EIX Vol: 3,882,160
PCG Vol: 36,561,644
NEM Vol: 8,360,949