XRP Price Prediction: XRP Is Up 10% in One Week — Where Does It Go From Here?

XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) is up 10% over the past week and trades at $1.44, outperforming both Bitcoin and Ethereum for the first time since January. The move came after some Ripple-specific developments had a direct impact on the XRP price for the first time in a while. XRP is now leading the market in weekly gains among the top cryptocurrencies by market cap.

With the CLARITY Act markup targeted for late April, XRP ETF inflows at their highest daily level in weeks, and Ripple expanding across Asia through major partnerships, XRP’s setup heading into the rest of April looks different from anything it’s had all year. So where does the XRP price go from here?

Why XRP Is Outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum for the First Time Since January

Every XRP rally this year has followed the same setup: Bitcoin moved, and XRP followed. The war ceasefire rally on April 7, the March commodity classification pop, even the February bounce before the war began—all of them were broad market moves where XRP was along for the ride. 

This rally is different because the catalysts are entirely Ripple and XRP-specific, even though the whole market is equally moving. XRP has gained roughly 10% over the past seven days compared to Bitcoin’s 4.6% and Ethereum’s 6.9.

Rakuten Wallet added XRP as both a listed asset and a payment method on April 15, opening XRP to up to 44 million users and over 5 million merchant locations across Japan. Ripple also announced a partnership with Kyobo Life Insurance in Korea to pilot blockchain-based government bond settlement. And XRP ETF inflows have picked back up after weeks of barely any activity, with the funds recording four straight days of positive flows for the first time since March.

All three of these are supporting XRP’s bullish momentum, which is why this rally looks different from previous bounces. When XRP rallies on its own catalysts—real partnerships, millions of new users spending it, and ETF money flowing back in—the buying pressure has a better chance of holding.

Three Dates That Will Decide Where XRP Goes Next

The XRP price has rallied over the past week, but three upcoming dates will determine if the move will continue or give everything back. The closest one is the Iran ceasefire expiry on April 22. 

The two-week truce between the U.S. and Iran has been shaky since the Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12 without agreement on Iran’s nuclear program or control of the Strait of Hormuz. Mediators reported an “in principle agreement” on extending the ceasefire earlier this week, but nothing has been confirmed. If the war resumes, the entire crypto market will likely drop again as the macro pressure comes back—XRP included.

The bigger date for XRP specifically is the CLARITY Act markup, which the Senate Banking Committee is targeting for late April. The bill would classify XRP as a digital commodity under federal law, giving XRP a permanent regulatory clarity. If the bill clears the committee, institutions finally get the legal cover to buy and hold XRP directly. So if it stalls past May, the bill is likely shelved until 2027, and XRP loses its biggest remaining catalyst for 2026.

Then there’s the FOMC meeting on April 28–29. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates at 3.50–3.75%, and with oil prices still above $90, a dovish surprise is off the table. On its own, the meeting probably won’t move XRP much. But if the ceasefire collapses and the CLARITY Act stalls, a hawkish Fed on top of that would make things a lot worse for anyone holding crypto heading into May.

XRP Price Prediction: Where Could XRP Go From $1.44?

XRP trades at $1.44 and has just touched its 50-day moving average at $1.40 for the first time since February. The 50-day MA has acted as a ceiling recently, so reclaiming it was the first technical sign that XRP’s short-term trend is shifting from bearish to neutral. 

But reclaiming a moving average and holding above it are two different things, and where XRP goes from here depends on what happens with the CLARITY Act, the Iran ceasefire, and the broader market over the next two weeks.

Bullish XRP Price Prediction: $1.50–$1.90

Should the Senate Banking Committee schedule the CLARITY Act markup before the end of April and the Iran ceasefire get extended past April 22, XRP would have the green light from regulators and a stable macro backdrop behind it. The XRP price could break above the $1.45 breakeven wall and push toward $1.50–$1.55, where the next major resistance are. 

If the CLARITY Act actually clears committee, XRP could aim toward the 200-day moving average at $1.90 by May—though reaching that level would require sustained ETF inflows and Bitcoin holding above $75,000.

Base XRP Price Prediction: $1.35–$1.50

If the ceasefire extends past April 22 but the CLARITY Act markup gets pushed to May, XRP would likely hold above $1.35 but struggle to break past $1.45. Without the institutional demand that the CLARITY Act unlocks, the 60% of supply stuck at the $1.44 breakeven level would keep rejecting rallies the same way it has all year. In this scenario, XRP will probably range between $1.35 and $1.50 through the rest of April until something else moves it.

Bearish XRP Price Prediction: $1.15–$1.30

If the war resumes after April 22 and oil prices spike above $100 again, the crypto market could be crushed once more, and XRP wouldn’t be spared. Here, a drop back below $1.30 becomes likely for XRP, and if Bitcoin breaks below $70,000 at the same time, XRP could retest the $1.15 support. If that happens, everything XRP has spent the past week building will get wiped out regardless of how strong its own fundamentals look.

Is XRP’s 10% Rally the Start of a Recovery or Another Fakeout?

XRP’s 10% rally has more behind it than any move since January. XRP is leading Bitcoin and Ethereum on its own catalysts for the first time all year, and the ETF inflows backing the move give it a foundation that previous bounces didn’t have. But the Iran ceasefire expires on April 22 and the CLARITY Act markup is targeted for the end of April, so XRP doesn’t have long before both of those either confirm the rally or unwind it.

So is it a recovery or a fakeout? It looks more like a recovery than anything XRP has put together since January, but the answer depends on what happens by the end of April. Should the ceasefire be extended beyond April 22 and the CLARITY Act clears the committee, XRP will hold $1.45 and test higher resistance levels.