Tonight’s earnings marks the first earnings report since the lock-up expiration flood, and management now has its first real opportunity to reset the story with the stock trading near $20 per share.
Despite the recent pressure, Wall Street’s consensus price target still sits at $40.25, implying more than 100% upside from current levels. The stock is also up 6% today, ahead of earnings.
The key question is whether management can reconnect investors to the long-term AI growth narrative. If CEO Dylan Field and CFO Yuhki Yamashita can quantify how AI demand is translating into revenue growth while maintaining confidence in the broader outlook, sentiment could shift quickly from post-lock-up selling pressure toward fundamentals again.
With Q1 in the books, now investors will be watching the company’s earnings call at 5 PM EST for hints of further guidance.
Bullish Scenario
Sustained net dollar retention near 139% and continued AI seat expansion.
Operating margin commentary supporting a credible path to GAAP profitability.
Bearish Scenario
Soft full-year commentary or vague AI revenue attribution.
Gross margin slips below 84.76%.
Wall Street’s average price target of $40.25 assumes guidance holds. Management’s tone on the call will help decide whether shares rerate toward that number.
Figma reported strong Q1 results, beating expectations across revenue, earnings, and guidance as AI adoption and enterprise expansion accelerated. The stock immediately jumped about 9% following results.
Key highlights:
Revenue grew 46% YoY to $333.4M, above the $313.2M consensus
Adjusted EPS came in at $0.10 vs. $0.06 expected
Net dollar retention hit 139%
Free cash flow reached $88.6M with a 27% margin
Customers spending over $100K ARR grew 48% YoY
Management said the quarter was driven by stronger-than-expected “seat expansion across entire organizations” alongside growing adoption of Figma’s AI products.
Figma also raised FY26 guidance:
Revenue now expected at $1.422B-$1.428B vs. $1.36B consensus
Q2 revenue guidance of $348M-$350M also came in ahead of expectations
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