Vistra vs. Constellation: Which AI Power Stock Is the Better Buy Right Now?

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By Joel South Updated Published

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Vistra vs. Constellation: Which AI Power Stock Is the Better Buy Right Now?

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For retirement-focused investors weighing the two dominant independent power producers cashing in on the AI data center buildout, the question is direct: Vistra (NYSE:VST | VST Price Prediction) or Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) — which one belongs in the portfolio right now? Both have ridden the same nuclear-and-gas thesis. Both have signed long-term hyperscaler contracts. But the answer for someone whose horizon is income and capital preservation, not maximum torque, is clear once you compare them across the three dimensions that actually matter.

Dimension 1: Income and Dividend Growth

Constellation pays a quarterly dividend of $0.4265 per share, with the next payment scheduled for June 5, 2026. That payout has marched higher every year since the 2022 spin-off: from $0.141 quarterly in 2022, to $0.3878 in 2025, to today’s rate, with management targeting another 10% annual growth.

Vistra does pay a dividend, but the most recent quarterly distribution was just $0.229 per share. Vistra’s capital return strategy leans on buybacks, not yield: roughly $6.3 billion repurchased since November 2021, a roughly 30% reduction in shares outstanding. Buybacks compound shareholder value, but they do not pay the mortgage.

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About the Author Joel South →

Joel South covers large-cap stocks, dividend investing, and major market trends, with a focus on earnings analysis, valuation, and turning complex data into actionable insights for investors.

He brings more than 15 years of experience as an investor and financial journalist, including 12 years at The Motley Fool, where he served as an investment analyst, Bureau Chief, and later led the Fool.com investing news desk. He has also co-hosted an investing podcast and appeared across TV and radio discussing market trends.

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