Rivian’s Most Important Product Launches And The Stock Falls Apart

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published

Quick Read

  • Rivian's R2 SUV launches at $44,990, but RIVN stock fell 7% post-announcement and sits 17% lower for the year.

  • Trailing Tesla and BYD with just 10,365 Q1 deliveries, Rivian's $21B valuation looks steep next to GM's $75B market cap.

  • Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Rivian didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

Rivian’s Most Important Product Launches And The Stock Falls Apart

© Rivian R1S - 6 (CC BY-SA 4.0) by Oleg Yunakov

Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN | RIVN Price Prediction) launched the vehicle that it has said for some time will be the key to its future. The R2 SUV is much less expensive than its current models. The base model (Launch Package) will cost about $58,000. The Rivian website put the price at $44,990.

However, each is lower than Rivian’s two other models. The base price for the R1T pickup is $72,990. The base price of the R1S SUV is $76,990. (Its price can rise to over $120,000 with a number of additional features.)

Rivian believes that demand for the R2 will be extraordinary. People can reserve one to buy. The reservation price is $100. At a low price, the number of people who sign up will not be indicative of demand

RJ Scaringe, Founder and CEO of Rivian, was excited. He said, “This vehicle reflects the passion and excitement of the entire Rivian team who have worked tirelessly to bring it to life. I can’t wait for customers to experience this vehicle.” Investors did not see it that way.

Just after the announcement, Rivian’s stock fell 6.6% to $15.73. It dropped another 3% today. It is down about 17% this year, while the S&P 500 is 8% higher.

It is only a guess, but investors may think the R2 is too little too late. Rivian only delivered 10,365 vehicles in the first quarter. That is miles behind EV market leaders Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and BYD. Even some legacy car companies are doing better in terms of unit sales.

Rivian remains a dog of a company. In the first quarter of the year, revenue was $1.81 billion. The company’s net loss was $416 million.

For some reason, Rivian believes that a vehicle that is late to market and expensive, given that many Americans want lower-priced EVs, can turn around its fortunes.

Rivian still has a market cap of $21 billion, which is hard to defend. GM (NYSE: GM), one of the world’s largest car companies, has a market cap of $75 billion. Which one is overvalued?

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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