The Guidance Numbers NVTS Investors Will Be Looking For Tonight

That wraps up our initial coverage of Navitas’s Q1 results. Thank you for stopping by!

Navitas ended Q2 with $557.4 million in cash, up from $236.9 million at the end of 2025. That gives the company substantial funding to expand capacity and invest in its high-power product portfolio while its core business remains unprofitable.

One new opportunity is a 1.2-kilovolt JFET product line scheduled for release by early 2027. Navitas estimates the product could address an incremental $1 billion market across AI data centers, solid-state transformers, and energy-grid infrastructure.

The balance sheet provides time for that pipeline to mature. Navitas expects Q3 revenue of $13.5 million at the midpoint, representing 28% sequential growth and a return to year-over-year growth, while adjusted gross margin is projected to expand slightly to 39.7%.

Navitas disclosed that it is shipping production samples of its gallium nitride and silicon carbide solutions for next-generation AI data centers targeting 800-volt architectures. Selected hyperscaler and XPU platforms are expected to begin ramping in 2027.

The company also deepened its collaboration with the NVIDIA MGX ecosystem, recently demonstrating an 800-volt-to-6-volt power delivery board. These higher-voltage architectures are designed to overcome the power bottlenecks created by increasingly dense AI computing racks.

Navitas reported an expanding backlog and record book-to-bill ratio as multiple customer programs moved toward production. The key question now is whether those samples and design engagements translate into material revenue when hyperscaler platforms begin ramping next year.

Navitas Semiconductor expects mobile and low-end consumer revenue to become insignificant by the end of 2026, completing its transformation into a high-power semiconductor company.

The transition is beginning to show up in the numbers. High-power revenue grew more than 50% year over year during Q2, helping total revenue climb 22% sequentially to $10.5 million despite remaining 27% below last year’s level. Adjusted gross margin also expanded 100 basis points year over year to 39.5%.

AI data centers and grid infrastructure are expected to generate more than one-third of Navitas’ sales by year-end. With management forecasting double-digit sequential growth throughout the second half, the company believes its shrinking consumer business has reached the point where high-power growth can finally outweigh the lost revenue.

Navitas Semiconductor delivered Q2 revenue of $10.5 million, topping the $9.97 million estimate, while adjusted EPS matched expectations at a $0.04 loss. Adjusted gross margin reached 39.5%, beating the 38.7% consensus and expanding 100 basis points year over year.

The bigger surprise came from guidance. Navitas expects Q3 revenue of $13.5 million at the midpoint, nearly 22% above the $11.1 million consensus and representing 28% sequential growth. Management also expects revenue to return to year-over-year growth as its high-power strategy gains traction.

By year-end, Navitas expects mobile and low-end consumer products to contribute an insignificant portion of sales, leaving nearly all revenue tied to high-power markets such as AI infrastructure and grid applications.

The $228.2 million GAAP loss looks alarming, but it included a $203.1 million noncash earnout-liability charge rather than a comparable deterioration in the underlying business.

Navitas Semiconductor just reported Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings, with shares initially down 1% following the report.

Guidance:

• Q3 revenue: $13.5 million at the midpoint
• Sequential growth: Approximately 28%
• Year-over-year growth: Expected to return in Q3

Quick Read:

Navitas expects a sharp sequential acceleration next quarter, but the initial stock reaction suggests investors wanted a stronger outlook or more immediate evidence of its AI-power ramp.

Cash and equivalents surged to $557.4 million from $236.9 million at year-end, while the new 1.2-kilovolt JFET product line adds an estimated $1 billion opportunity across AI data centers and grid infrastructure.

Wall Street models Q2 revenue near $9.97 million and non-GAAP EPS of -$0.0422, but the Q3 outlook will drive the reaction. Chris Allexandre has framed Q4 2025 as the revenue floor, with sequential growth through 2026.

Management’s pattern is conservative: Navitas (NASDAQ:NVTS) beat its own Q4 2025 guide of $7.0M ± $0.25M and its Q1 2026 guide of $8.0M-$8.5M.

Bullish Guidance: A Q3 guide above $11.5 million, gross margin cresting 40%, and a named AI data-center design win.

Bearish Guidance: A flat-to-down Q3 guide, contracting margins, or accelerated burn against the $221.0 million cash pile.

History warns even 15.97% beats can trigger day-one drops when guidance disappoints.

Top 5 Analyst Questions

• When do in-rack GaN DC-DC proof points convert to volume orders?
• Path to breakeven, given a high-30s revenue threshold?
• GlobalFoundries 8-inch pivot in 2027 milestones?
• Customer concentration as mobile winds down?
• SiC Gen 5 traction after 50% power density claims?

Key Topics, Buzzwords, Red Flags:

• Key Topics: Q3 revenue framing, cash burn versus $221 million, Delta/Flex/Vertiv design-in cadence, Wolfspeed litigation posture.
• Buzzwords to Listen For: “Kyber,” “18.5-kilowatt PSU,” “$10,000 to $15,000 per megawatt” content, “solid-state transformer,” “production-intent samples.”
• Red Flags: Widening opex above $15.5 million, gross margin below 38.5%, deferred NVIDIA ramp language, fresh capital raise hints beyond the $500M ATM, or softer high-power growth versus Q1’s 50% sequential AI infrastructure gain.

Navitas (NASDAQ:NVTS) reports Q2 2026 after tonight’s close. Management guided revenue to $10.0M ± $0.5M, over 16% sequential growth, with non-GAAP gross margin at 39.25% ± 75 bps and operating expenses of $14.5M to $15.5M. Q1 delivered a -$0.04 non-GAAP EPS beat.

Analysts are focused on high-power revenue mix (up roughly 35% YoY last quarter), margin trajectory, and cash burn against the $221.008M balance. Commentary on NVIDIA‘s (NASDAQ:NVDA) 800-volt architecture and the GlobalFoundries (NASDAQ:GFS) U.S. GaN ramp could matter more than tonight’s headline numbers.

Shares trade at $11.47, down 40.39% over the past month but up 52.94% YTD. The stock has risen a strong 4.72% intraday, suggesting investors are bullish heading into earnings. Polymarket’s beat odds have slipped from 75.5% to 54.5% this week. Full-chain put/call sits at 0.32.

Revenue above $10.5M with firm Q3 guidance could spark a rebound, while a result below $9.5M or margin slippage risks retesting July lows.

With shares down 40.39% over the past month, both the Bull and Bear camps have sharpened their arguments ahead of tonight’s earnings.

Bull Case

• AI power tailwind: The NVIDIA MGX engagement and a $3.5 billion 2030 SAM growing 60%+ CAGR anchor the pivot.
• Momentum returning: High-power revenue grew roughly 35% year-over-year, with Q2 guided to over 16% sequential growth.
• Balance sheet: $221 million cash, no debt funds the transition.
• Crowd’s vote: Polymarket odds sit at 55% for a beat.

Bear Case

• Scale mismatch: A $10.0 million revenue guide against a $2.66 billion market cap leaves little cushion.
• Legal overhang: Wolfspeed’s five-patent infringement suit clouds the AI narrative.
• Dilution: A $500M ATM offering weighs on supply.
• Timing: GaN 800V production is targeted for 2027.

This live blog is being updated by Thomas Richmond, a 24/7 Wall St. contributor. You’ll get expert analysis of Navitas’ earnings.

Simply stay on this page, and new updates will appear below automatically. We expect Navitas to release earnings shortly after 4:05 p.m. ET.

Navitas Semiconductor enters Q2 earnings with investors looking to see whether the company’s shift toward high-power applications can outweigh the continued wind-down of its mobile business and preserve sequential growth.

Gross margin progress toward the 39.25% guide and cash burn against a $221.01 million balance will frame the runway debate. However, commentary surrounding NVIDIA’s 800-volt architecture and the timing of the U.S. gallium nitride ramp with GlobalFoundries could matter even more than the quarterly results.

Navitas trades at roughly 66 times sales without a near-term path to GAAP profitability. That valuation prices in execution, as well as the company’s long-term potential. A beat paired with firm design-win commentary would reinforce the AI-power thesis.

A guidance cut or margin miss could reignite doubts over whether the projected $3.5 billion addressable market by 2030 represents a credible opportunity or an aspirational target.