HPE Is Up 120% This Year. What Wall Street Expects in Tonight’s Q3 Earnings

That wraps up our initial coverage of HPE’s Q3 results. Thank you for stopping by!

Networking Sub-Segments: Routing Steals the Show

Digging into the $2.893B networking segment reveals where the Juniper integration is paying off. Routing revenue jumped 270.0% YoY to $788M, the standout line, while Data Center Networking surged 112.2% to $382M and Security climbed 75.6% to $281M. Campus & Branch, the largest sub-line at $1.442B, grew 31.0%.

Server Reaccelerates, Storage Firms, Financing Slips

Outside networking, Server revenue rose 35.3% to $6.766B on AI infrastructure demand, accelerating from Q2’s 32.7%. Storage advanced 10.2% to $1.291B, a notable step up from Q2’s 2.4%, as Alletra MP scales. Financial Services slipped 0.3% to $883M, the lone soft patch. The Cloud & AI segment totaled roughly $9.04B.

Every product line meaningfully beat the run rate implied by prior guidance, and networking breadth plus server strength pushed revenue past the $11.91B consensus, with Catalyst savings and Juniper synergies expanding margins.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise just reported earnings, and shares were initially flat after the report. Here are the key numbers:

• Revenue: $12.2 billion vs. $11.91 billion expected
• Adjusted EPS: $1.11 vs. $0.93 expected
• Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 40.4%, up 1,050 basis points YoY
• Free Cash Flow: $1.0 billion

Guidance:

• Q4 revenue: $13.9 billion to $14.8 billion vs. $12.96 billion expected
• Q4 adjusted EPS: $1.20 to $1.30 vs. $1.07 expected
• FY26 adjusted EPS: $3.75 to $3.85 vs. $3.43 expected
• FY26 free cash flow: At least $3.75 billion

Quick Read:

• HPE delivered a strong beat and raise, topping Q3 revenue and EPS estimates while guiding Q4 revenue and earnings substantially above Wall Street expectations.
• Networking remains a major growth engine, with revenue surging 74.9% YoY, while Cloud & AI revenue climbed 25.4% and management called AI a “multi-year growth driver.”

Ahead of tonight’s call, here’s what to watch as Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE:HPE) tries to defend a 113.67% YTD run. Polymarket puts odds of a beat at 95%.

Top 5 Analyst Questions

• Sustainability of AI systems demand given the $5.9 billion backlog and pipeline described as multiples of it.
• Pace of Juniper synergy capture beyond the $200 million annual target.
• Networking margin trajectory after Q2’s 21.6% result.
• Conservatism of the FY27 framework: 8% to 12% revenue growth.
• Capital return timing once 2x net leverage is reached.

Key Topics and Buzzwords

• Listen for: “Catalyst savings,” “GreenLake ARR,” “scale-up Ethernet,” and Elliott board dynamics.

Red Flags

• Any Q4 guide softening, server margin compression, tariff commentary, or AI order cancellations.

This live blog is being updated by Thomas Richmond, a 24/7 Wall St. contributor. Simply stay on this page, and new updates will appear below automatically.

We expect HPE to release Q3 earnings shortly after 4:05 p.m. ET.