Does the “100 Minus Your Age” Investing Rule Still Work? What Wes Moss Thinks

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By Carl Sullivan Updated Published

Quick Read

  • The 100-minus-your-age portfolio rule is outdated for modern retirees who live 10+ years longer than when the rule was created, and it conflicts with the 4% withdrawal rule that requires at least 50% in stocks to work properly.

  • For older adults with substantial assets passing to heirs, a multi-generational time horizon justifies higher stock allocations (50-70%) than traditional age-based formulas suggest, making a 60-40 split more appropriate than capital preservation-focused strategies.

  • If you're focused on picking the right stocks and ETFs you may be missing the bigger picture: retirement income. That is exactly what The Definitive Guide to Retirement Income was created to solve, and it's free today. Read more here
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Does the “100 Minus Your Age” Investing Rule Still Work? What Wes Moss Thinks

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The 100-minus-your-age rule has been handed down through decades of personal finance advice without much scrutiny. The idea is simple: Subtract your age from 100, and that number is the % of your portfolio that belongs in stocks. An 85-year-old, by this logic, should hold just 15% in equities. But does this strategy make sense in 2026?

Wes Moss, the Atlanta-based retirement planner and host of the “Ask An Advisor” segment on The Clark Howard Podcast, has a direct verdict on that formula: “It’s a very antiquated, overly crude rule of thumb that I do not subscribe to at all.”

Why the Formula Breaks Down at 80-Something

The 100-minus-your-age rule was built for a world where retirement lasted 10 to 15 years and inflation was manageable background noise. Today, a woman reaching 85 has a meaningful probability of living another decade or more. A portfolio that is 85% bonds and 15% stocks faces a serious inflation problem over that time horizon.

While inflation has cooled from pandemic highs, the **2026 Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) was finalized at 2.8%**. While this is lower than recent years, it reflects a persistent upward drift in the cost of services like healthcare. A fixed income stream that covers today’s assisted living costs may fall short in five years if it doesn’t outpace these rising costs.

In a recent podcast episode, Moss discussed how retirement frameworks are evolving. While the traditional 4% rule remains a popular benchmark, many researchers in 2026 now point to a **3.9% safe withdrawal rate** as the more prudent baseline for the 2026-2028 “risky period.” Moss notes that this math is predicated on holding at least 50% in stocks. A 15% stock allocation is not just conservative; it is structurally incompatible with the withdrawal math required to sustain a modern retirement.

A Multi-Generational Time Horizon Changes Everything

The more powerful concept Moss introduced is one most people managing parental assets never consider: the “family time horizon.” If substantial assets will pass to heirs, the portfolio isn’t just for an 85-year-old—it’s for the next generation.

This mindset shift allows retirees to take advantage of current tax-efficient growth strategies. For example, under the **SECURE 2.0 Act**, workers aged 60 to 63 can now utilize **”Super Catch-up” contributions**—contributing the greater of $10,000 or 150% of the standard catch-up limit. By investing more like a 55 or 60-year-old, an affluent octogenarian can ensure their estate outpaces inflation for their beneficiaries.

David from California wrote in to Moss’s show, explaining that advisors had recommended moving his mother and mother-in-law toward a 60-40 stock-to-bond split. Despite David’s instinct to be more conservative, Moss agreed with the advisors. With 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%, bonds offer real income, but a 60-40 split ensures the capital growth necessary to cover a decade of potential care or a substantial legacy.

The Conversation David Should Have With Those Advisors

Moss recommended talking to the advisors about the actual time and spending needs of both women. This discussion might include:

  1. Specific 2026 Income: What do care costs total, and how much does the updated Social Security benefit—which can reach a maximum of **$4,152** for delayed claimants in 2026—already cover?
  2. An honest assessment of estate intent: If assets are likely to pass to heirs, the portfolio’s effective time horizon extends well beyond either woman’s life expectancy.
  3. The 3.9% Stress Test: Run the current portfolio balance against annual withdrawals. If the withdrawal rate is at or below the 3.9% baseline, a more aggressive equity allocation is generally sustainable.
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About the Author Carl Sullivan →

Carl Sullivan has been a Flywheel Publishing contributor since 2020, focusing mostly on personal finance, investing and technology. He started his journalism career covering mutual funds, banking and business regulation.

Besides his freelance writing, Carl is a long-time manager of editorial teams covering a variety of topics including news, business and politics. He’s currently the North America Managing Editor for Flipboard and worked previously for Microsoft News and Newsweek.

Carl loves exploring the world and lived in India for several years. Today, he resides in New York City’s Queens borough, where you can hear hundreds of different languages just by riding the subway.

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