The headline number sounds reassuring at first glance. Vanguard’s How America Saves 2026 report puts the average 401(k) balance for workers ages 60 to 64 at $284,300. On the surface, that suggests people are heading into retirement with a solid cushion. But the median balance for that same group is just $89,400, and that gap tells a much more realistic story.
The difference comes down to how averages work. A small number of very large accounts can quickly pull the average up. Picture 10 workers with $50,000 saved and one person with $5 million. The median remains at $50,000, but the average is much higher. That same effect shows up in Vanguard’s data. A relatively small group of 401(k) millionaires lifts the average well above what most people actually have. Across age groups, the average is often about two to three times the median, which makes it a shaky measure of the typical saver.
What the Median Actually Produces in Retirement
Applied to the median balance of $89,400, the standard 4% safe withdrawal rule generates roughly $3,576 per year, or about $298 per month. That is the entire annual income a typical 60-something can draw from a 401(k) without significantly increasing the risk of running out of money over a 25- to 30-year retirement. The average balance of $284,300 produces about $11,372 per year under the same rule. Neither figure stands alone in a retiree’s budget, which is where Social Security comes into the mix.
The Social Security Administration estimates the average monthly retirement benefit at about $2,071 in 2026, or roughly $24,852 per year. That figure already reflects the latest cost-of-living adjustment. When you combine that benefit with a 4% withdrawal from the median 401(k), total annual income comes out to around $28,400 for a single retiree.
Comparing That Income to Actual Spending
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, average annual household spending reached $78,535 in 2024. Retirees typically spend less than the overall average, but not enough to erase a gap of that size. It is also worth noting that this is a household figure, while the income example above reflects a single retiree. Even so, the comparison highlights the challenge. A median 401(k) paired with an average Social Security benefit covers only a fraction of typical expenses. The rest has to come from somewhere else, whether that is a spouse’s benefit, home equity, pensions, taxable savings, part-time work, or simply spending less.
Where you live also makes a noticeable difference. Lower-cost states can stretch retirement dollars much further than higher-cost ones. For example, cost-of-living indexes can range from the mid-80s in some states to around 110 in others, which affects how far the same savings will go.
The Income Side Is Tightening
Two pieces of context complicate retirement planning right now. The personal savings rate has fallen from 6.2% in the first quarter of 2024 to 3.7% in the first quarter of 2026, reducing the room to top off balances late in a career. At the same time, fixed-income yields available to conservative retirees have eased.
The Federal Reserve’s target rate sits at 3.75%, the 10-year Treasury yields 4.46%, and the national average 12-month CD pays just 1.65%. Top online banks pay several times that rate, but the average yield across banks is what most depositors actually receive.
Levers Available to Workers Still Saving
For workers still in their 60s and contributing, catch-up contributions allow savers age 50 and older to add $7,500 on top of the standard $23,500 401(k) limit, and workers ages 60 to 63 qualify for an even higher catch-up of $11,250 under SECURE 2.0.
Delaying Social Security is another powerful lever. Waiting from age 62 to 70 increases the monthly benefit by roughly 77%, providing a built-in, inflation-adjusted boost to income. Making sure to capture the full employer match in a 401(k) is also critical, especially since a meaningful share of workers still leave that money on the table.
The average 401(k) balance for people in their 60s paints a comfortable picture, but it reflects a minority of savers. The median tells the story of most workers living as they approach retirement.