Was Peloton the Final Straw for the IPO Market?

A horde of companies have come public this year expecting the best, but even with strong market tailwinds many of these firms have fallen to the wayside. Peloton was the most recent company to come public and its IPO was…

Published September 27, 2019, 12:55pm ET · 2 min read

The letters 'IPO' are formed by metallic silver 3D cubes, appearing to rise from a background surface made of numerous smaller, golden 3D cubes. The composition suggests a pixelated or digital style, with a sense of depth and a focus on the financial term 'IPO'.
The term 'IPO' rendered in 3D blocks symbolizes Latigo Biotherapeutics' successful entry into public markets, raising nearly $350 million. © TimArbaev / Getty Images

A horde of companies have come public this year expecting the best, but even with strong market tailwinds many of these firms have fallen to the wayside. Peloton Interactive Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) was the most recent company to come public and its initial public offering was a disaster. Not only did Peloton enter the market below its pricing, but it sank even lower still.

Companies looking to come public are waiting for peak valuation to get the most money possible in their IPO. We generally see rising valuations when markets are pushing higher or near all-time highs. So, despite a fairly positive 2019 (S&P 500 up roughly 19%), the IPO market has not been good.

So far, 2019 IPOs have raised nearly $50 billion, equal to all of 2018 and easily overtaking the $35 billion that was raised in 2017, according to Renaissance Capital. Additionally, Goldman Sachs says that this class off IPOs also has the lowest first-year profitability since the dot-com bubble.

Even WeWork, which has yet to come public (and likely will never at this rate) has drawn the market’s ire as it saw its valuation slashed over the course of this year. Near the onset of IPO talks for this company, a brokerage house valued WeWork at roughly $100 billion. By the time the IPO was shelved, some estimates valued the firm at $10 billion. Some analysts are even calling this a classic example of the “greater fool theory.”

Other major companies that have come public this year and have had a rough go include Lyft Inc. (NASDAQ: LYFT | LYFT Price Prediction) (46.5%), Slack Technologies Inc. (NYSE: WORK) (−41.4%), Chewy Inc. (NYSE: CHWY) (−24.9%), Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) (−24.1%) and SmileDirectClub Inc. (NASDAQ: SDC) (−22.4%).

Now looking at the Renaissance IPO ETF (NYSEMKT: IPO), some might ask why it’s up 23% year to date despite all of these companies falling flat on their faces. Simply put, Roku Inc. (NASDAQ: ROKU) and DocuSign Inc. (NASDAQ: DOCU) make up 11% of the exchange-traded fund’s holdings (7% and 4%, respectively), and each is up significantly this year (237% and 55%, respectively).

However, out of all these losers, there are a couple bright spots. Namely, Beyond Meat Inc. (NASDAQ: BYND) and Pinterest Inc. (NYSE: PINS). Beyond Meat has seen explosive growth since it came public, although it has backed off since August. That is not to say that Beyond Meat can’t keep growing. It may be on the verge of a massive partnership with McDonald’s. Separately, Pinterest has been relatively positive this year, with the exception of August as well.


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Chris Lange

Chris Lange is a financial and geopolitical writer with more than a decade of experience covering a myriad of topics. He has published thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St., with past coverage focused heavily on stocks, IPOs, healthcare, defense, global affairs, and technology.

His work has been quoted, or referenced by a number of outlets including Business Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Finance, MSN, The Motley Fool, and many other publications. A graduate of Southwestern University, he studied business with a focus on investments and has previous experience in banking and startups.

When not reading or writing the news, he is following his passion for Lacrosse, playing chess, or building solar projects with his dad.

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