Live coverage has ended. The full story is below.
Teradyne (Nasdaq: TER | TER Price Prediction) will report Q2 2025 earnings Tuesday after the bell, with consensus pointing to the bottom of a multi-quarter downcycle. The stock is up ~35% YTD on AI enthusiasm and recovery positioning, but near-term demand from Apple and memory customers remains muted. Investors will look to the call for signs of test capacity ramps, automation order trends, and confidence in second-half acceleration.
Consensus Estimates:
– Revenue: $685 million
– EPS (Normalized): $0.42
– FY 2025 Revenue: $3.03 billion
– FY 2025 EPS: $2.51
That implies revenue contraction of ~11% YoY in Q2 and flat growth for FY25, with expectations skewed heavily toward a stronger H2 ramp .
Key Areas to Watch Tonight
- Semiconductor Test Demand Recovery- Semi Test drives >60% of Teradyne’s revenue base.
Management previously guided for Q2 to mark the bottom. Investors will seek updates on wafer capacity additions, AI-related test demand, and new design wins — especially in memory and HPC.
- Apple & Mobile Test Cycle Timing- Apple alone represents >10% of annual revenue.
Last quarter, Teradyne hinted that a “delayed but intact” mobile cycle could support H2. This call will need to confirm order timing and mix, as Apple shifts to more advanced packaging nodes.
- Industrial Automation Orders- IA is key to Teradyne’s long-term diversification narrative.
Automation orders declined sequentially in Q1. Analysts will look for early signs of rebound in cobot demand or EV-related installations. UR and MiR visibility remains limited.
- Gross Margin Rebuild Path- Margins have been under pressure from mix and underutilization.
Gross margin fell below 55% in Q1. Investors want clarity on when volumes recover enough to return to the 58–60% long-term range.
What To Track
| KPI |
Q1 FY25 |
Q2 FY25E |
Trend |
| Semi Test Revenue ($M) |
$475M |
$450–470M |
↓ slight |
| IA Revenue ($M) |
$69M |
$70–75M |
→ stable |
| Gross Margin (%) |
54.6% |
~55% est. |
↗ slight |
What Changed Since Q2
-
Q2 confirmed as trough quarter; full-year guide unchanged.
-
No significant upside booked from Apple cycle yet.
-
Industrial automation weakness persisted; no rebound signaled in Q1 call.
-
Investors increasingly focused on AI/ML-driven test demand in H2 and FY26.
How Teradyne Stock Performed After Recent Earnings
| Quarter |
EPS Surprise |
1-Day Move |
7-Day Move |
14-Day Move |
| Q1 FY25 |
+4.5% |
+2.4% |
+4.1% |
+5.0% |
| Q4 FY24 |
+2.8% |
+1.5% |
+3.0% |
+3.7% |
| Q3 FY24 |
-1.1% |
-0.8% |
-2.0% |
-1.5% |
| Q2 FY24 |
+1.6% |
+1.2% |
+2.2% |
+2.6% |
Teradyne has averaged a +1.8% stock move 7 days post-earnings over the past four quarters.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.