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Rivian (Nasdaq: RIVN | RIVN Price Prediction) reports Q2 FY 2025 results after the market close. After Q1 beat—where revenue of $1.29 billion beat consensus by 11.5 % and EPS of –$0.48 vs. –$0.92 consensus surprised +48 %—investors will assess delivery execution against a 2025 target of 150,000 units and margin-expansion levers around production cost, pricing and service revenue. Cash-burn guidance and capital-partner commentary will underpin sentiment.
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What to Expect – Estimates
Consensus (Yahoo Finance)
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Revenue: $1.29 billion
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EPS (Non-GAAP): –$1.41
Full-Year FY 2025
These imply ~5 % Y/Y top-line growth and a modest EPS loss narrowing vs. –$3.48 in FY 2024.
Key Areas to Watch
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Unit-Economics & ASP
Management noted a blended ASP of $75,000 in Q1; investors will watch any shifts—especially in consumer vs. fleet mix—and margin implications.
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Production vs. Delivery Sync
With guidance calling for 150,000 unit builds in 2025, Q2 build vs. delivery cadence will signal channel fill risks or upside in order rates.
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Service & Software Revenue
Commentary on software-enabled service revenue and subscription offerings (e.g., Fleet OS) will be parsed for early margin support ahead of volume breakeven.
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Gross-Margin Improvement Plan
Q1 margins improved on scale efficiencies and mix; investors will listen for cost-reduction milestones (e.g., battery cost, automation) and any timing shifts.
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Cash-Burn & Financing Update
With a $3.5 billion cash balance, watch for updates on the ATM shelf, strategic partnerships (e.g., Amazon, Ford) or convertible issuances to extend runway.
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