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Live: GitLab (GTLB) Shares Sink 12% Thanks to Disappointing Guidance

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By Joel South Updated Published

Key Points

  • GitLab projected to grow revenue 24.4% YoY in Q2, reaching $227.2M amid accelerating Duo and Ultimate adoption.

  • EPS expected to rise to $0.16 from $0.15 YoY, but margin signals will matter more than the headline print.

  • AI-native features like Duo Workflow and Amazon Q integration could drive long-term seat expansion across enterprise.

  • The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 stocks and GitLab wasn't one of them. Get them here FREE.

Live Updates

Shares Rebounding During Conference Call

On GitLab’s conference call they:

  • Directly addressed concerns from investors around how the company could be impacted by fewer engineering hires and the resulting pressure on per monetization from seat growth.
  • Clarified that full-year guidance is conservative due to changes in the company’s go-to-market strategies.
  • And provided more discussion on their CFO transition.

Overall, the call has soorthed some of Wall Street’s fears and shares are now down 7% after being down 12% when the call began.

Positives And Negatives from Tonight's Earnings

Positives:

  • Revenue and earnings for last quarter both soundly beat expectations
  • The company launched the public beta of its GitLab Duo Agent Platform and a new strategic collaboration with AWS
  • Operating Cash Flow hit $49.4 million (above Wall Street expectations)

Negatives:

  • Fiscal year revenue guidance of $939 million at th midpoint is disappointing and points to revenue deceleration in the seocnd half
  • The company announced a CFO transition

Overall,  Wall Street is focusing more on the negatives after hours. The stock is down 11%.

The company’s conference call has begun and you can register to join here.

Not a Good Night for SaaS Stocks

SaaS stocks have been under pressure all summer as fears mount that AI could reduce their pricing power.

Earnings tonight won’t help. GitLab is now down almost 10% thanks to disappointing Fiscal year guidance.

CRM powerhouse Salesforce is also struggling tonight. Shares are down 4%. The reason for the drop is the same as GitLab: investors aren’t impressed with their full-year revenue guide.

Earning Summary

GTLB | GitLab Q2’26 Earnings Highlights:

  • Adj. EPS: $0.24 [✅]; UP +60% YoY
  • Revenue: $236.0M [✅]; UP +29% YoY
  • Adj. Gross Margin: 90% [✅]; DOWN -100 bps YoY
  • Net Income: $(9.2)M [❌]; DOWN -171% YoY
  • Operating Cash Flow: $49.4M; UP +322% YoY
  • Non-GAAP Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $46.5M; UP +330% YoY
  • Customers with >$5,000 ARR: 10,338, UP +11% YoY
  • Customers with >$100,000 ARR: 1,344, UP +25% YoY
  • Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate: 121%
  • Total RPO: $988.2M, UP +32% YoY
  • cRPO: $621.6M, UP +31% YoY

Outlook:

  • Revenue: $238.0 – $239.0M [➖]
    • Guidance reflects continued strong demand for GitLab’s AI-native DevSecOps platform.
    • Expectations for sustained growth driven by new customer acquisitions and existing customer expansions.
  • Non-GAAP Operating Income: $31.0 – $32.0M [➖]
  • Non-GAAP Diluted Net Income per Share: $0.19 – $0.20 [➖]

Q2 Segment Performance:

  • Subscription Revenue: $212.7M [✅]; UP +30% YoY
  • License Revenue: $23.3M [✅]; UP +20% YoY

Other Key Q2 Metrics:

  • Adj. Operating Income: $39.6M [✅]; UP +117% YoY
  • Adj. Operating Expenses: $89.6M [✅]; UP +15% YoY
  • R&D Expenses: $71.5M [✅]; UP +17% YoY
  • Effective Tax Rate: 22% (vs. -39% YoY)
  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: $261.4M
  • Short-term Investments: $903.8M
  • Accounts Receivable: $197.8M
  • Deferred Revenue: $485.2M

CEO Commentary:

  • Bill Staples: “This quarter’s results demonstrate the strength of GitLab’s AI-native DevSecOps platform as we continue to drive customer-focused innovation. GitLab Duo Agent Platform represents our vision for human-AI collaboration across the software development lifecycle. With extensibility and interoperability at our core, GitLab gives customers the flexibility to build software with their choice of AI generation tools integrated directly within GitLab, underpinned by the full lifecycle data needed to deliver faster, higher quality AI outcomes.”

CFO Commentary:

  • Brian Robins: “Our team achieved strong second quarter fiscal year 2026 results, with 29% revenue growth and significant year-over-year operating margin expansion. GitLab’s sustained growth reflects the transformational value enterprises achieve through the only cloud-agnostic, model-neutral DevSecOps platform with comprehensive contextual AI capabilities that span planning through deployment, capable of running anywhere, including air-gapped environments.”

Other Executives:

  • Manav Khurana, Chief Product and Marketing Officer: “The public beta launch of GitLab Duo Agent Platform is a significant step in enhancing our offerings and providing our customers with advanced AI capabilities.”
  • James Shen, Vice President of Finance: “We are committed to maintaining our growth trajectory while ensuring financial discipline as we navigate through this transition period.”

 

Full Year Guidance is $939 million at the Midpoint

That’s what’s causing the negative reaction. Wall Street expected $943, so the company’s full year guide comes in under expectations.

Earnings Beat / Revenue Beats

It was both a revenue beat ($236 million vs. Wall Street expectations of $227 million) and an earnings beat (adjusted EPS of $.24) for GitLab, yet shares are down. Losses have been cut back to about 5%. We’ll continue looking into what’s disappointing.

GitLab Initially Down

GitLab just released earnings and its more disappointment for investors in the company. Shares are immediately down 12%. We’ll continue posting news and analysis.

Earnings Expected at 4:05

Right after earnings release we’ll begin posting news and analysis to this blog.

GitLab is One of Our Favorite AI Stocks

24/7 Wall St.’s AI Investor Podcast has recommended shares of GitLab multiple times. In our next episode, we’ll be providing more analysis into GitLab’s earnings tonight.

If you’re invested in GitLab and want to hear a more detailed look at its earnings, make sure to subscribe to the podcast in your favorite player. We’ve embedded one of our latest episodes in Spotify below:

 

Earnings History & Stock Performance

Quarter EPS Surprise 1-Day Move 7-Day Move 14-Day Move
Q1 FY2026 +13.33% –1.87% –0.15% +3.63%
Q4 FY2025 +43.48% +0.67% +2.14% +4.36%
Q3 FY2025 +43.75% –3.84% –3.63% –4.70%
Q2 FY2025 +50.00% +1.22% +3.12% +2.66%

GitLab (Nasdaq: GTLB | GTLB Price Prediction) reports Q2 FY2026 earnings after the close, with consensus calling for 24.4% revenue growth and modest EPS expansion. Despite a solid Q1 beat on EPS (+13.33%), the stock dipped on light top-line upside and cautious commentary around lower-tier customer churn.

Still, GitLab remains an early leader in DevSecOps with integrated AI. Adoption of its Duo platform — including new Workflow agentic tools — is driving seat expansion and productivity gains across the enterprise. 

What to Expect When GitLab Reports

Metric Q2 FY26 (Jul 2025) FY2026 (CY) FY2027 (CY)
EPS (Normalized) $0.16 $0.75 $0.92
Revenue $227.2M $942.91M $1.15B
EPS YoY Growth +6.7% +1.35% +22.7%
Revenue YoY Growth +24.4% +24.2% +21.8%
  • EPS range: $0.16 – $0.19 
  • Revenue range: $226.35M – $234.2M 

Key Areas to Watch

1. Duo Workflow Beta and Productivity Impact
GitLab is rolling out “Workflow,” its agentic AI beta, designed to streamline code review, test generation, and pipeline execution. Private preview users reported 35% faster test authoring and 25% faster analysis. Management sees Duo as a long-term monetization engine across tiers.

2. Ultimate Tier Penetration
GitLab’s highest-priced tier now accounts for 52% of total ARR, with 8 of the top 10 Q1 deals including Ultimate. Investors will watch whether this premium adoption continues even as price sensitivity rises at the low end.

3. Mid-Market & SMB Churn Trends
Management flagged increasing churn in $5K–$20K ARR cohorts and slower logo growth, especially among smaller customers. Seat expansion in enterprise may offset this, but net retention needs to stabilize.

4. Strategic Partnerships & AI GTM
GitLab is partnering with AWS to integrate Amazon Q agents into its DevSecOps platform. Launch activities around AWS Global Summits may accelerate Duo and Ultimate adoption in the enterprise.

5. Cash Flow & Profitability
GitLab posted a record 49% adjusted free cash flow margin in Q1. While some seasonality is expected, the Street will look for signs that GitLab can maintain mid-30s+ FCF margins alongside growth.

This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
Photo of Joel South
About the Author Joel South →

Joel South covers large-cap stocks, dividend investing, and major market trends, with a focus on earnings analysis, valuation, and turning complex data into actionable insights for investors.

He brings more than 15 years of experience as an investor and financial journalist, including 12 years at The Motley Fool, where he served as an investment analyst, Bureau Chief, and later led the Fool.com investing news desk. He has also co-hosted an investing podcast and appeared across TV and radio discussing market trends.

Live: GitLab (GTLB) Shares Sink 12% Thanks to Disappointing Guidance

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