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Live: Salesforce (CRM) Drops 4% After Issuing Disappointing Guidance

Key Points

  • Welcome to our Salesforce Live Blog! New and analysis will appear automatically below, simply leave this page open and we’ll begin posting updates the moment Salesforce’s earnings are released.

  • Salesforce is expected to grow EPS 8.6% YoY as AI-driven consumption builds; margins still the focus.

  • Revenue projected to rise 8.7% to $10.14B; analysts watching attach rates for Agentforce and Data Cloud.

  • Stock trades well below Street’s $344.64 average target.

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Live Updates

Salesforce's Conference Call Starts in 15 Minutes

Salesforce will host its conference call in 15 minutes. You can register to join here.

Glass Half Full?

While Salesforce shares are down, here are a couple reasons to be happy with tonight’s earnings:

  • Adjusted EPS guidance of $11.35 at the midpoint beats Wall Street’s current expectations of $11.29.
  • The company is now authorized to rebuy $50 billion in shares. That’s a large number considering Salesforce is worth $245 billion at today’s close.
  • The company is on track to deliver $15 billion in operating cash flow this year.

Again, Wall Street is focusing mostly on the company’s full-year revenue guide, which is the reaosn shares are down. Yet, all these other areas are fairly optimistic.

For Salesforce Buyers - Earnings are Deja Vu

In our first update we posted that Salesforce had dropped by about 4% after issuing its prior two earnings.

Tonight looks to continue that trend. Shares are down 3.9% before the company’s conference call. If these losses hold tomorrow it would mean Salesforce has dropped by roughly the same amount for three straight earnings releases.

Salesforce Shares Down 4%

As of 4:24 p.m. ET, Salesforce shares are down 4.2%.

It’s a tough after hours for SaaS stocks. Shares of GitLab are down 89% after issuing disappointing Fiscal 2026 revenue guidance.

Detailed Earnings Summary

CRM | Salesforce Q2’26 Earnings Highlights:

  • Adj. EPS: $2.91 [✅]; UP +13.5% YoY
  • Revenue: $10.2B [✅]; UP +10% YoY
  • Adj. Gross Margin: 34.3% [✅]; UP +60 bps YoY
  • Net Income: $1.887B [✅]; UP +32.2% YoY
  • Operating Cash Flow: $7.216B; UP +1.1% YoY
  • Free Cash Flow: $605M; DOWN -19.8% YoY

Outlook:

  • Revenue: $10.24 – $10.29B [✅]
    • Guidance reflects continued strong demand across all segments, particularly in AI and Data Cloud.
    • Expectations for growth driven by existing customer expansions and new customer acquisitions.

Q2 Segment Performance:

  • Subscription & Support Revenue: $9.7B [✅]; UP +11% YoY
  • Professional Services Revenue: $546M [✅]; DOWN -2.7% YoY

Other Key Q2 Metrics:

  • Adj. Operating Income: $2.332B [✅]; UP +30.8% YoY
  • Adj. Operating Expenses: $5.662B [✅]; UP +5.2% YoY
  • R&D Expenses: $1.481B [✅]; UP +9.8% YoY
  • Effective Tax Rate: 21.6% (vs. 22.3% YoY)
  • Current Remaining Performance Obligation: $29.4B; UP +11% YoY

CEO Commentary:

  • Marc Benioff: “We delivered an outstanding quarter to close out the first half of the year, with strong performance across revenue, margin, cash flow, and cRPO—and we remain on track for fiscal 2026 to be a record year with nearly $15 billion in operating cash flow. These results reflect the success of our customers—like Pfizer, Marriott, and the U.S. Army—who are transforming into agentic enterprises, where humans and AI agents work side by side to reimagine workflows, accelerate productivity, and deliver customer success.”

CFO Commentary:

  • Robin Washington: “Our second quarter results highlight our ability to drive profitable growth while helping our customers and ourselves become agentic enterprises. We exceeded all our financial targets while achieving our tenth consecutive quarter of operating margin expansion, delivering strong returns and maximizing value for our customers and shareholders.”

 

Salesforce Growth Rates

Metric Q2 26 Q2 25 YoY
Revenue $10.20B $9.32B 9.38%
Gross Profit $7.99B $7.17B 11.55%
Operating Income $2.33B $1.78B 30.79%
Net Income $1.89B $1.43B 32.05%
Cash And Equivalents $10.37B $7.68B 34.93%
Total Assets $97.57B $92.18B 5.85%
Total Liabilities $36.24B $34.55B 4.92%
Shareholders Equity $61.33B $57.63B 6.41%
Operating Cash Flow $740.00M $892.00M -17.04%
Capital Expenditures $135.00M $137.00M -1.46%

What Salesforce's CEO Had to Say

“We delivered an outstanding quarter to close out the first half of the year, with strong performance across revenue, margin, cash flow, and cRPO—and we remain on track for fiscal 2026 to be a record year with nearly $15 billion in operating cash flow.”

Marc Benioff

Longer Summary Of Earnings

Revenue was $10.2 billion, above the $10.14 billion consensus estimate. EPS was $2.91, above the $2.78 estimate. Salesforce reported a 10% year-over-year revenue increase for Q2 2026, with subscription and support revenue rising 11%.

The company achieved a GAAP operating margin of 22.8% and a non-GAAP margin of 34.3%. Salesforce returned $2.6 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends and announced a $20 billion increase to its share repurchase program.

The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $41.1 billion to $41.3 billion and operating cash flow growth to 12%-13%.

Losses Moderate

Salesforce shares are now down about 2.5% as Wall Street digests the company’s earnings.

Revenue guidance was raised to $41.2 billion for the midpoint.

That’s slightly below where Wall Street has revenues modeled for the Fiscal year ($41.237 billion). That guidance is likely fueling the after hours drop.

More on Earnings

Revenue hit $10.24 billion (beats Wall Street estimates that were ~$10.14 billion).

EPS of $2.91 beats estimates of ~$2.78.

Earnings Are Out

Looks like a slight beat on both revenue and EPS but shares are down 4% immediately. We’ll continue updating this live blog with news and analysis.

Salesforce Earnings Should Release Right After the Bell

Salesforce earnings are expected just moments after the closing bell. If you’re looking for new and analysis, simply leave this page open and new updates will post automatically right after the company’s earnings are released. 

Software Stocks are the New Battleground

Just a couple quarters ago Salesforce shares jumped after earnings after the company spoke bullishly about building traction on its AgentForce platform.

Fast forward to today and Wall Street has turned bearish on the stock. Salesforce shares are down 22% year-to-date. It’s far from the only software stock to see underwhelming returns so far this year.

The big fear holding software stocks back is that rather than providing a powerful tailwind, AI will reduce the pricing power of leading companies. Salesforce will have an opportunity to turn around this narrative tonight. Snowflake recently reported earnings and after struggling during the summer route in software stocks jumped more than 20% the next day as AI demand caused an inflection in product revenue.

How CRM Performed After Recent Earnings Releases

Quarter EPS Surprise 1-Day Move 7-Day Move 14-Day Move
Q1 FY2026 +1.31% –3.71% –0.97% –5.21%
Q4 FY2025 +6.43% –3.59% –7.52% –8.88%
Q3 FY2025 –1.47% +11.14% +8.16% +3.82%
Q2 FY2025 +8.63% –2.72% –6.98% –4.45%

On average over the past year, the stock moved just under -2.00% after a week of trading following an earnings release.

Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) is set to report Q2 FY2026 earnings after the close. With Agentforce adoption spreading and Data Cloud crossing the $1B ARR mark last quarter, the company has established itself as a key AI platform player. But growth remains the wildcard and investors want to see signs that repeat usage and expansion deals are following the initial surge in AI enthusiasm. 

The stock is down 23% so far in 2025 and management has been looking at cost cutting, recently announcing a 4,000 customer service jobs being cut and replaced with AI agents. 

What to Expect When Salesforce Reports

Metric Q2 FY26 (Jul 2025) Q3 FY26 (Oct 2025) FY26 (CY2026) FY27 (CY2027)
Revenue $10.14B $10.28B $41.24B $44.98B
EPS (Normalized) $2.78 $2.85 $11.29 $12.63
YoY Revenue Growth +8.71% +8.90% +8.82% +9.08%
YoY EPS Growth +8.56% +18.09% +10.69% +11.85%
  • EPS range: $2.76 – $2.82 (45 analysts)
  • Revenue range: $10.08B – $10.17B

Key Areas to Watch

1. Agentforce Monetization
With over 4,000 paid Agentforce customers, management emphasized adoption momentum and high-value use cases. Investors want to see whether pilot programs are converting to production workloads with sustainable refill rates.

2. Data Cloud Expansion
Data Cloud now exceeds $1B in ARR, growing over 120% YoY. More than half of the top 100 deals last quarter included Data Cloud and AI. This quarter will test whether that growth is accelerating or normalizing.

3. Informatica Deal Commentary
Salesforce’s $8B acquisition of Informatica is expected to close by early FY27. Key questions include integration timing, margin accretion path, and federal contract unlocks tied to FedRAMP certifications.

4. Regional & SMB Strength
Last quarter saw strong growth in U.K., France, Canada, and South Asia, with mid-market outperforming. Any slowdown here could shift sentiment quickly.

5. Margin vs. Growth Tradeoff
Salesforce reiterated its 34% non-GAAP operating margin target, even while adding 1,000–2,000 new AEs. A miss here could pressure multiples.

By Joel South Updated Published
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Live: Salesforce (CRM) Drops 4% After Issuing Disappointing Guidance

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