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The Nasdaq Composite opened Monday slightly in the red, dipping 0.18% despite holding near all-time highs. The prior week’s surge had lifted the index’s year-to-date advance to 6.7%, but traders are stepping back as several heavyweight forces converge , a wave of AI partnership news, the year’s most pivotal stretch for big-tech earnings, and a flaring oil shock as one step forward, two steps back Iran talks continue.
Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) tops the AI activity, reportedly striking a chip development agreement with OpenAI. The project brings in Taiwan’s MediaTek on the engineering side, with China’s Luxshare responsible for co-design and production. TF International Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo puts mass manufacturing on track for 2028. Qualcomm shares are jumping 5% on the development. Nvidia has also grabbed attention, recrossing the $5 trillion market cap mark as its stock climbs back above the $200 threshold.
Here’s a look at where things stand as of morning trading:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 49,291 Up 0.12%
Nasdaq Composite: 24,701 Down 0.47%
S&P 500: 7,156 Down 0.10%
Market Movers
Hyperscaler infrastructure investment is forecast to hit $650 billion industrywide this year, with the PHLX Semiconductor Index recently completing an 18-session run of gains.
The earnings slate this week is the one portfolio managers have been circling for months. Microsoft (Nasdaq; MSFT), Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL), Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) and Meta Platforms (Nasdaq: META) report Wednesday, with Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) following Thursday, five Magnificent Seven constituents back to back. Investors want proof that AI spending is generating real returns in relation to the massive AI capex spending spree.
Oil is the wild card. WTI surged 6% to $91 a barrel and Brent briefly breached $108 after Washington withdrew its Iran envoy team. Goldman Sachs revised its late-2026 Brent target up to $90. The fact that equities are holding near records through all of it points to AI optimism carrying more weight than energy anxiety, at least for now.
The Fed decision and Jerome Powell’s commentary round out a week that could meaningfully shift the market’s summer outlook.
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