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Keysight Technologies (NYSE:KEYS | KEYS Price Prediction) reports Q3 FY2026 results today at 4:05 PM ET after the market closes. With the stock up 102.85% over the past year but down 7.3% today, this earnings report will test whether AI test and measurement demand can drive a record-setting year for Keysight.
Momentum Meets a Higher Bar
Last quarter was, by CEO Satish Dhanasekaran’s own words, “the strongest quarter in the company’s history.” Q2 revenue hit $1.717 billion, growing 31.47% YoY, while non-GAAP EPS of $2.87 beat expectations.
Orders reached $2.51 billion, up 56% YoY, with book-to-bill above 1.0x. CSG operating margin expanded to 33% from 26% a year earlier, and free cash flow hit a record $472 million. Management raised the FY2026 outlook to high 20% revenue growth.
Consensus Estimates
| Metric |
Q3 FY2026 Guidance |
YoY Change |
| Revenue |
$1.730B to $1.750B |
+29% |
| Non-GAAP EPS |
$2.43 to $2.49 |
+43% |
Guidance implies a modest sequential dip from Q2’s record, which management attributed to product mix and NPI ramp timing. The Street expects EPS of $2.48, right at the high end of the range.
What I’m Watching Tonight
Tonight, I’ll be watching the company’s book-to-bill ratio first. Orders grew 48% on a core basis last quarter, and any deceleration could call the AI runway thesis into question.
Commercial Communications will be an important segment to watch, having grown 40% YoY on wireline strength tied to 800-gig, 1.6-terabit, and silicon photonics validation work. The CFO flagged 59% incremental margins in Q2. Sustaining anything near that at these growth rates would extend the company’s operating leverage story.
I’ll also watch aerospace and defense, where European demand is accelerating, plus commentary on the Synopsys, Ansys, and Spirent integrations tracking to $375 million in FY26 contribution. Any updates on 6G standardization from next month’s 3GPP meeting in Singapore would matter for the FY2027 setup.
Earnings History
| Quarter |
EPS Surprise |
Earnings Day Move |
1-Week Move |
30-Day Move |
| Q2 FY2026 |
+23.69% |
-0.59% |
-0.86% |
+3.07% |
| Q1 FY2026 |
+8.75% |
+23.05% |
+0.35% |
-6.77% |
| Q4 FY2025 |
+4.16% |
+10.01% |
+5.70% |
+5.83% |
| Q3 FY2025 |
+2.88% |
-3.04% |
+4.11% |
+12.18% |
On average, shares moved +2.33% seven days after earnings over the past year.
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