Tesla Takes Back America
Tesla's brand loyalty cratered and its stock shed over $500 billion in value after Elon Musk waded into politics, yet something unexpected has since shifted the company's fortunes in ways its rivals can no longer match.
In mid-2025, Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA | TSLA Price Prediction) sales had collapsed. CEO Elon Musk’s relationship with President Trump had crippled sales and the company’s stock. Reuters reported that S&P Global Mobility Research found that “brand loyalty” had “plunged.” A year earlier, its customers were the most loyal among major US car companies.
Tesla’s stock also plunged during that period. It traded for $436 a share at the start of 2025. By late April, it was $240. More than $500 billion in market cap disappeared.
What a difference a year and a half makes. Tesla’s market share in the US is back to 52%. Overall EV sales in the US are down 30% through August, according to The Wall Street Journal. Tesla’s are off 16%.
However, Tesla has a chance to do even better if the EV industry rebounds, even modestly. Major global manufacturers that believed they could conquer the US EV market have watched their efforts collapse. This includes GM (NYSE: GM), Ford (NYSE: F), and companies based in South Korea and Europe. And there are few signs they will be back. Most have already changed their factories to build other products.
Tesla has one significant challenge. Its models are old. It has dumped two models—the Model S and Model X. It relies on its two best-selling models—the Model Y and Model 3. If it needs a major overhaul, none seems planned in the near term.
To its benefit, its Full Self-Driving (Supervised) is often said to be the best autonomous driving software in the industry. If local and state regulators approve real self-driving, Tesla can capitalize on it as fast as any car company. It already has a large installed base of people who pay $99 a month for the feature.
Elon Musk says Tesla is really a robotics and AI company. Car sales still matter. And those are getting better.
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