Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) reports fiscal Q2 earnings at 4:05 PM ET today, with Wall Street expecting roughly $3.55 per share. That would be below the $3.63 reported a year ago, while estimates have been trending lower ahead of the print.
Expectations are already low. Constellation shares have been under pressure heading into earnings as investors worry about softer beer demand and margin pressure.
Management has also warned of higher costs, while its current full-year outlook calls for beer sales ranging from a 1% decline to 1% growth and beer operating margins of 37% to 38%.
That makes tonight’s report an important test of whether bad news is finally priced in. Constellation now trades at roughly 11 times trailing earnings and carries a dividend yield around 3.6% and free cash flow yield near 9.5%.
If Modelo and the broader beer portfolio show signs of stabilization while margins hold up, even a modestly positive report could give investors a reason to reconsider the stock’s depressed valuation.