Solana Beat Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Over the Month and Lost to All Three This Week. One of Those Streaks Is About to End.
Solana dominated its rivals over the past month but got crushed the same week its biggest upgrade went live. Two competing streaks cannot both survive October, and the clock is running out for one of them.
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Solana (CRYPTO:SOL) showed impressive growth over the past 30 days, gaining 9.9%. This outperformed Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) at 8.0%, XRP (CRYPTO:XRP) at 2.6%, and Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) at 1.1%. However, the situation reversed over the past week. Solana fell 8.2%, the largest drop among the four, while XRP fell 7.7%, Ethereum 6.4%, and Bitcoin 3.2%.
Solana trades at $111, up 1.9% in the past 24 hours. While these figures overlap significantly, they reveal contrasting trends. Which trend is more reliable, and which may change first?
Solana’s Network Upgrade Gave Holders a Talking Point

Many holders credit Solana’s strong month to a recent network upgrade. On October 10, Solana reduced its block times to just 200 milliseconds, making it the fastest major blockchain. Block time refers to how quickly the network adds new entries to its ledger, the official record of all transactions. Faster block times let trades and payments settle more quickly for exchanges, payment apps, and trading bots on Solana.
While this upgrade is a major talking point for holders, price increases still require ongoing buyer demand; faster block times alone cannot create it. The upgrade’s timing and the monthly gains overlap but do not necessarily indicate a direct cause-and-effect relationship.
Additionally, Solana’s 9.9% monthly gain is only modestly ahead of Bitcoin’s 8.0% gain. Although it outperformed Ethereum and XRP by a wider margin, the competition with Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by trading volume, is tight. Overall, the crypto market trended slightly upward, with Solana leading this month but only by a small margin.
Solana Fell Hardest the Same Week Its Upgrade Went Live

Notably, Solana posted the largest drop among the four major cryptocurrencies during the week of its network upgrade. Holders who anticipated the upgrade still saw their investment decline relative to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP.
Recent fund flows suggest the selling may have come from more than just small traders reacting to the news. Solana funds, which let investors gain exposure to SOL without buying the coin directly, saw outflows on six of the seven trading days in October. This consistent trend suggests a more deliberate pullback rather than sporadic selling.
Liquidity Explains Both of Solana’s Trends

Both Solana’s recent streaks can be traced back to liquidity, which measures how easily large orders can be executed without affecting the price. Compared to Bitcoin, whose market has a deeper pool of buyers, Solana has less liquidity. When buyers pull back, Solana’s price drops more sharply because fewer bids are available to support it. Conversely, when buyers return, Solana’s price can rise faster for the same reason. This dynamic explains why Solana outperformed Bitcoin in a rising market but fell harder when the market turned.
For context, Solana is currently 62.0% below its all-time high and would need to multiply by 2.6 to reach that peak again. The latest month’s gains and recent drops have only slightly changed the distance from its all-time high.
Which Solana Trend Is Likely to Change First?
Currently, Solana’s 30-day lead over Bitcoin seems most likely to end. The lead is narrow, and the recent poor performance now factors into the 30-day calculations, while earlier gains will soon drop off as the timeframe progresses. Furthermore, significant outflows on six of the seven trading days suggest the money supporting Solana’s lead is exiting. The recent 1.9% bounce in 24 hours is too small to suggest a significant turnaround.
If Bitcoin maintains its stronger performance, as suggested by a 3.2% drop over the past week, Solana’s lead could diminish. The critical observation period ends on October 31. If Solana’s 30-day performance still surpasses Bitcoin’s by then, and inflows return to Solana funds in the remaining days of October, we may need to rethink our view and treat the recent downturn as a temporary pause. However, if outflows continue, the monthly lead is likely to fade along with them.
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