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The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) tumbled 2.7% on Friday, erasing earlier gains and ending with a 2.4% loss for the week, after (1) China announced severe restrictions on rare earth exports and (2) President Trump retaliated with a threat to impose a “massive increase of tariffs” on Chinese exports to the U.S. if the restrictions are not lifted.
As Monday dawns, though, the ETF is bouncing right back, rising 1.3% premarket after President Trump reassured investors Sunday everything “will all be fine,” implying that he doesn’t really want to impose the tariffs — and that China may not be serious about the rare earth restrictions, either. “Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment,” said Trump in a post on Truth Social. “He doesn’t want Depression for his country, and neither do I.”
The President seems to be pointing China to an off-ramp before a new trade war starts. It remains to be seen whether China will take it however, and for the time being many investors are taking Mr. Xi at his word — and investing in U.S.-based rare earth startups as a hedge against trade restrictions.
USA Rare Earth (Nasdaq: USAR) stock climbed 15% on Friday, and is up more than 17% premarket today.
MP Materials (NYSE: MP) stock gained 2% Friday, and is up another 9% premarket today.
Earnings season resumes
Earnings season returns to the Street again this week, with multiple major big banks expected to report Q3 earnings on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Tuesday, October 14: Citigroup (NYSE: C | C Price Prediction), JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) will report before market-open.
Wednesday, October 15: Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) will all report — also premarket.
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