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The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) opened 0.4% lower on Thursday, one day after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by the expected 25 basis points, lowering its target interest rate no lower than 3.5%.
Cuts are ordinarily good news for the stock market, lowering bond returns and making it cheaper for companies (i.e. stocks) to borrow money, thus boosting their profits and helping their share prices to rise. This week’s news was widely anticipated, however, so investors aren’t reacting as positively as you might think. The more so because a “dot plot” showing the likelihood of future rate cuts suggests December 10’s cut might be the last for a while.
Experts are now anticipating just one single rate cut in 2026, and one more in 2027. This would eventually lower interest rates to a dovish 3%, but would take almost two years to do so.
Earnings
The big earnings news today is from S&P 500 component company Oracle (NYSE: ORCL | ORCL Price Prediction). The software company announced powerful profits in its fiscal Q2 2026 report last night, beating expectations by 62 cents with a profit of $2.26 per share. Revenue, however, fell short of expectations at $16.1 billion, and this morning Oracle stock is down 14%.
On guidance, Oracle said its Q3 earnings will be just about what Wall Street was already expecting, $1.70 to $1.72 per share, with revenue rising about 20% year over year — barely half what Wall Street was hoping for. Viewed in that context, a decline on strong earnings isn’t actually so surprising.
In happier tech news, Adobe (Nasdaq: ADBE) beat earnings by 10 cents last night, reporting $5.50 per share for its fiscal Q4, and revenue of $6.2 billion — also ahead of consensus forecasts.
Adobe guided well above consensus for Q1, expecting to earn between $5.85 and $5.90 per share on sales of $6.25 billion or better, and Adobe stock is up about 2% this morning.
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