On Tuesday’s TBPN, the conversation drifted from SpaceX’s eye-watering private mark to Snap’s eye-watering hardware price tag. Host John Coogan and his callers landed on a useful pairing. SpaceX trading at around 100x price-to-sales, and Snap (NYSE:SNAP | SNAP Price Prediction) asking consumers for $2,195 for a pair of glasses CEO Evan Spiegel keeps calling “the next computer.”
The segment opened with Ryan Peterson’s viral line that SpaceX’s opening-day pop meant “Elon made more money than Warren Buffett made in his entire life,” with Coogan noting the stock was “up another 14% after hours.” Then a caller dropped the multiple that reframed everything.
What 100x price-to-sales actually implies
A caller, citing Ad Ludlow, brought attention to SpaceX’s price-to-sales, against Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) at 3.6x and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) at 9.2x. Coogan’s framing was a thought experiment. If Amazon traded at SpaceX’s multiple, you would be staring at “a $100 trillion company.”
SpaceX is being priced as if Starship and Starlink and the eventual AI segment are pure optionality on entire new economies. The S-1 describes a Connectivity segment that generated $4.4 billion in income from operations and $7.168 billion in Segment Adjusted EBITDA in 2025, while the Space segment burned through $3 billion in Starship R&D in the same year. The cash flows exist. The multiple prices a future where they compound for a very long time without serious competition.
Public-market comparables are nowhere close. Microsoft’s Azure still grew 18.3% last quarter at roughly 9.33x sales mark. Amazon’s TTM price-to-sales sits at 3.56x on $742.8 billion of revenue. SpaceX is in its own column.
Snap’s $2,195 glasses and the Vision Pro question
Spiegel unveiled Specs at AWE on June 16, 2026, calling AR eyewear the next computing platform. The Snap CEO had teased the moment on the Q1 call, telling investors he was focused on “disciplined execution as we invest in Specs and our long-term opportunity in intelligent eyewear.” The market response has been chilly. SNAP is down 11% over the five days and down 41% year-to-date.
Coogan called the $2,195 price “a lot of money,” and it is. But it sits below Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL)’s Vision Pro, which launched at $3,499. A second caller flagged the design distinction that matters. Specs are built as a mobile device. The Vision Pro is a sit-down headset people mostly use indoors. Whether anyone wants to wear a $2,195 camera on their face walking through Whole Foods is the open question.
What Snap shareholders are actually funding
The company guided to $500 million-plus in annualized cost reductions in the second half of 2026, with $95-130 million in pre-tax charges mostly in Q2. Q1 revenue grew to $1.53 billion, free cash flow more than doubled, and adjusted EBITDA hit $233.33 million, per the company’s Q1 2026 8-K filing. North America DAU, though, is still down 7% year over year at 92 million.
Activist Irenic Capital has been telling Snap to shut Specs down, arguing the program has already consumed over $3.5 billion, with a price target of $26.37. Morningstar cut its fair value to $7 from $9 after Q1.
The SpaceX comparison cuts against Snap. SpaceX is being priced on a future that is arriving on schedule. Snap is asking shareholders to underwrite a category that may or may not exist by the time the glasses ship later this year. One has reusable rockets. The other has a camera on your temple and a CEO who calls it the next computer.
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