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Jack Henry & Associates (NASDAQ:JKHY | JKHY Price Prediction) reports Q4 FY2026 today at 4:15 PM ET. Tonight’s results will test whether the guidance raise from May holds up.
Momentum Meets Margin Normalization
Q3 FY26 delivered non-GAAP revenue of $616 million, up 7.3%, and GAAP EPS of $1.71, up 12%. Free cash flow jumped 137% year over year to $122 million, and trailing ROIC reached 23%.
Shares have fallen 14.96% year to date to $155.17, well below analysts’ consensus price target of about $200.15. Management explicitly told investors Q4 revenue growth would run below the prior three quarters, and margins would contract as the healthcare tailwind fades.
Consensus Estimates
| Metric |
FY26 Guidance (Raised May) |
Growth |
FY25 Actual |
| GAAP Revenue Growth |
6.1% to 6.6% |
Accelerating vs. FY25 |
$2,375M (+7.21%) |
| Non-GAAP Revenue Growth |
6.6% to 7.1% |
Tightened range |
n/a |
| GAAP EPS |
$6.78 to $6.87 |
9% to 10% |
$6.24 |
| Non-GAAP Margin Expansion |
75 to 95 bps |
Raised from 20 to 40 bps |
n/a |
With three quarters banked at YTD GAAP EPS of $5.41, up 20%, Q4 needs to deliver roughly $1.37 to $1.46 in EPS to land within the guidance range. Deconversion revenue guidance of $37 million for FY26 shapes the Q4 mix.
What I’m Watching Tonight
Tonight, I’ll be watching four things. First, the core pipeline. CEO Adelson told analysts the team is targeting “north of 55” wins for FY26, versus 51 last year, and 25 of 43 YTD wins were Trifectas pulling in digital and card. Any update on the $10 billion asset win, the second-largest in company history, will be important.
Second, faster payments. Q3 showed Zelle +25%, RTP +26%, FedNow +31%, with transaction volume up 47% YoY. Sustaining that trajectory validates the Jack Henry Platform strategy.
Third, Q4 margin math. Cloud migration spend, commission timing, and lower-margin implementation work will pressure the quarter. I want to see how management frames the exit rate into FY27.
Fourth, AI monetization. Adelson said 88% of client CEOs plan tech budget increases, with AI now the top priority. Investors will be listening for concrete revenue anchors tied to 500+ AI use cases.
Earnings History
| Quarter |
EPS Surprise |
Day-of Move |
1-Week Move |
| Q2 FY26 |
+21.13% |
-2.18% |
-7.15% |
| Q1 FY26 |
+19.39% |
-1.28% |
-1.22% |
| Q4 FY25 |
+16.93% |
+1.97% |
-0.65% |
On average, shares moved -3.01% in the week following earnings across recent beats.
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