As the November 2024 presidential election rapidly approaches, President Biden’s campaign faces substantial challenges in gaining traction and winning over American voters. As Biden enters his fourth year in office, he finds himself among the least favored American presidents in recent history.
Based on Gallup polling data, Biden’s average approval rating in 2023 was just 39.8%, marking the lowest third-year average among elected post-World War II presidents, except for Jimmy Carter. While the Biden administration’s approval rating rose slightly to 41% in January of 2024, it still falls well below the 52% average among all presidents since 1938.
Using information sourced from Race to the WH, a group specializing in election forecasting and political consulting, 24/7 Wall St. determined Biden’s approval rating in each state. States are ranked based on Biden’s current projected approval rating, with ties broken by population size. These approval ratings were compiled by Race to the WH using historical state-level polling data, and are current as of Feb. 2, 2024.
During his presidency, Biden’s approval ratings have fluctuated between 37% and 57%, as per Gallup. However, at the state level, support for the president often mirrors historical partisan voting tendencies.
Approval ratings for the Biden administration vary significantly across states, ranging from 50% to as low as 16%. Remarkably, Biden won in all but three of the 25 states where his voter support is highest during the 2020 presidential election. In contrast, he won only three of the 25 states where his approval ratings are currently at their lowest.
Despite predominantly negative public perceptions of the president in most states, popularity polls may not accurately predict Biden’s performance in November. The election outcome could be influenced by advancements, whether genuine or perceived, in critical policy areas like the economy and immigration over the next few months. Even if the President’s approval ratings remain low, winning in 2024 could still be feasible if a greater portion of voters disapprove of his Republican opponent.
Here are Biden’s approval ratings by state:
50. Wyoming
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 16%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 83%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (26.6% Biden, 69.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.1% (18th highest of 50 states)
- Wyoming’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
49. North Dakota
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 19%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 77%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (31.8% Biden, 65.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 68.9% (6th lowest of 50 states)
- North Dakota’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
48. Idaho
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 21%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 66%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (33.1% Biden, 63.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 74.7% (23rd lowest of 50 states)
- Idaho’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
47. Kentucky
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 22%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 62%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (36.2% Biden, 62.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 72.8% (20th lowest of 50 states)
- Kentucky’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 8 votes
46. Montana
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 25%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 64%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (40.5% Biden, 56.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 80.9% (11th highest of 50 states)
- Montana’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
45. Oklahoma
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 25%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 67%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (32.3% Biden, 65.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 69.0% (7th lowest of 50 states)
- Oklahoma’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 7 votes
44. Nebraska
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 26%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 72%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (39.4% Biden, 58.5% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.6% (12th lowest of 50 states)
- Nebraska’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 5 votes
43. Tennessee
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 26%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 71%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (37.5% Biden, 60.7% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 66.1% (4th lowest of 50 states)
- Tennessee’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 11 votes
42. Utah
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 28%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 61%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (37.6% Biden, 58.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.4% (15th highest of 50 states)
- Utah’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
41. South Dakota
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 29%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 71%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (35.6% Biden, 61.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 76.3% (24th highest of 50 states)
- South Dakota’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
40. Minnesota
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 29%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 51%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (52.4% Biden, 45.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 82.3% (7th highest of 50 states)
- Minnesota’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
39. West Virginia
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 30%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 69%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (29.7% Biden, 68.6% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 61.3% (the lowest of 50 states)
- West Virginia’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
38. Alabama
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 30%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 63%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (36.6% Biden, 62.0% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 67.5% (5th lowest of 50 states)
- Alabama’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 9 votes
37. Indiana
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 30%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 68%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (41.0% Biden, 57.0% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 63.1% (2nd lowest of 50 states)
- Indiana’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 11 votes
36. Kansas
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 31%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 60%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (41.6% Biden, 56.2% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.1% (19th highest of 50 states)
- Kansas’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
35. Arkansas
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 31%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 65%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (34.8% Biden, 62.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.7% (13th lowest of 50 states)
- Arkansas’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
34. South Carolina
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 31%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 59%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (43.4% Biden, 55.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 69.7% (9th lowest of 50 states)
- South Carolina’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 9 votes
33. Iowa
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 32%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 56%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (44.9% Biden, 53.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.2% (10th lowest of 50 states)
- Iowa’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
32. Louisiana
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 32%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 58%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (39.9% Biden, 58.5% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 71.1% (16th lowest of 50 states)
- Louisiana’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 8 votes
31. Colorado
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 33%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 46%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (55.4% Biden, 41.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 85.0% (the highest of 50 states)
- Colorado’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
30. Missouri
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 33%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 61%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (41.4% Biden, 56.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 69.6% (8th lowest of 50 states)
- Missouri’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
29. Ohio
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 34%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 59%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (45.2% Biden, 53.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.7% (14th lowest of 50 states)
- Ohio’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 17 votes
28. Mississippi
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 35%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 63%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (41.1% Biden, 57.6% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 63.9% (3rd lowest of 50 states)
- Mississippi’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
27. Maine
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 36%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 62%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (53.1% Biden, 44.0% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 84.3% (3rd highest of 50 states)
- Maine’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
26. North Carolina
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 36%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 56%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (48.6% Biden, 49.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 75.0% (24th lowest of 50 states)
- North Carolina’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 16 votes
25. Texas
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 36%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 55%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (46.5% Biden, 52.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 72.0% (19th lowest of 50 states)
- Texas’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 40 votes
24. Rhode Island
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 37%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 55%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (59.4% Biden, 38.6% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 73.2% (21st lowest of 50 states)
- Rhode Island’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
23. Nevada
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 38%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 53%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (50.1% Biden, 47.7% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.2% (16th highest of 50 states)
- Nevada’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
22. Wisconsin
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 38%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 50%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (49.4% Biden, 48.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 84.2% (4th highest of 50 states)
- Wisconsin’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
21. New Jersey
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 38%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 55%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (57.3% Biden, 41.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 71.6% (17th lowest of 50 states)
- New Jersey’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 14 votes
20. Florida
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 38%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 57%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (47.9% Biden, 51.2% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 77.5% (20th highest of 50 states)
- Florida’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 30 votes
19. New Mexico
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 39%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 52%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (54.3% Biden, 43.5% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 79.7% (13th highest of 50 states)
- New Mexico’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 5 votes
18. Virginia
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 39%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 58%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (54.1% Biden, 44.0% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 71.7% (18th lowest of 50 states)
- Virginia’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 13 votes
17. Georgia
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 39%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 57%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (49.5% Biden, 49.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 82.0% (9th highest of 50 states)
- Georgia’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 16 votes
16. Alaska
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 40%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 57%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (42.8% Biden, 52.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 75.6% (25th highest of 50 states)
- Alaska’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
15. Michigan
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 40%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 49%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (50.6% Biden, 47.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 82.1% (8th highest of 50 states)
- Michigan’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 15 votes
14. Vermont
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 41%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 48%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (66.1% Biden, 30.7% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 82.4% (6th highest of 50 states)
- Vermont’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
13. Arizona
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 41%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 56%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (49.4% Biden, 49.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 79.9% (12th highest of 50 states)
- Arizona’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 11 votes
12. Pennsylvania
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 41%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 58%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (50.0% Biden, 48.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 83.4% (5th highest of 50 states)
- Pennsylvania’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 19 votes
11. New Hampshire
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 42%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 54%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (52.7% Biden, 45.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 81.3% (10th highest of 50 states)
- New Hampshire’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
10. Oregon
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 42%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 51%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (56.5% Biden, 40.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 84.7% (2nd highest of 50 states)
- Oregon’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 8 votes
9. Hawaii
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 43%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 53%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (63.7% Biden, 34.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.2% (17th highest of 50 states)
- Hawaii’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
8. Washington
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 43%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 48%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (58.0% Biden, 38.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 79.5% (14th highest of 50 states)
- Washington’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 12 votes
7. California
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 43%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 53%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (63.5% Biden, 34.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 76.6% (22nd highest of 50 states)
- California’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 54 votes
6. Connecticut
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 44%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 50%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (59.3% Biden, 39.2% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.5% (11th lowest of 50 states)
- Connecticut’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 7 votes
5. Illinois
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 44%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 47%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (57.5% Biden, 40.6% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 75.3% (25th lowest of 50 states)
- Illinois’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 19 votes
4. New York
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 45%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 55%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (60.9% Biden, 37.7% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 74.5% (22nd lowest of 50 states)
- New York’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 28 votes
3. Delaware
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 46%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 52%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (58.7% Biden, 39.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.8% (15th lowest of 50 states)
- Delaware’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
2. Massachusetts
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 48%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 48%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (65.6% Biden, 32.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 76.7% (21st highest of 50 states)
- Massachusetts’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 11 votes
1. Maryland
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 50%
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 45%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (65.4% Biden, 32.2% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 76.5% (23rd highest of 50 states)
- Maryland’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
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