2024 is a presidential election year in the United States. it’s often said that presidential approval ratings are a good indicator, or a reliable predictor, of whether an incumbent president will remain in office. According to global analytics and advisory firm Gallup, those with 50% or higher approval ratings typically win re-election. Of course, this is not a guarantee, but with a current 2024 approval rating hovering between 33 and 38%, President Biden is far below the 50% threshold for remaining in office.
The share of Americans who say President Joe Biden is doing a bad job as president recently hit a new high. A Pew Research Center survey, conducted between January 16-21, 2024, found that 65% of American adults disapprove of the Biden administration, up from 64% in November 2023. While other similar polls reflect more favorable assessments, by historical standards, Biden remains a decidedly unpopular president — particularly among certain demographics.
Per Gallup, there are several issues where Biden fails to reach the 50% threshold – Biden’s overall job performance, how he’s handling the war in Ukraine, the economy, foreign affairs, immigration, and the Middle East situation. Not surprisingly, the strongest predictor of public opinion is party affiliation. Among likely Republican voters, Biden’s disapproval rating stands at 92%, compared to just 37% among likely Democratic voters. (Here is a look at the most disliked world leaders.)
According to Pew, young adults between the ages of 18 and 29 are more likely to disapprove of the president, as are white voters, men, and those without a college education. Public sentiment towards the president also varies considerably by state, and while most Americans disapprove of the current administration, there are several parts of the country where this is not the case, and others still where voters are overwhelmingly negative on Biden.
24/7 Wall St. identified Biden’s disapproval rating in every state by using data from Race to the WH, an election forecasting and political consulting group. States are ranked on Biden’s current projected disapproval rating, and in the case of a tie, the state with the larger population ranks higher. Disapproval ratings were calculated by Race to the WH with historical, state-level polling data, and are current as of Feb. 2, 2024.
The share of voters who disapprove of the Biden administration is dependent on the state and ranges from 45% to 83%. Perceptions of Biden correlate strongly with party affiliation. Of the 25 states with the highest estimated disapproval ratings, only four went to Biden in the 2020 presidential election. Conversely, Biden also won all but four of the 25 states where his disapproval ratings are now the lowest in 2020.
In many parts of the country, President Biden’s negative views are so widespread that it suggests a difficult path forward for his reelection campaign. How Biden fares in the general election may well hinge on progress — real or perceived — in several key policy areas in the coming months, including the economy and immigration. But even if the president’s disapproval rating remains high, a victory in 2024 may still be in reach if a larger share of voters disapprove of his Republican opponent. (Here is a look at the U.S. senators doing the least in office.)
50. Maryland
Source: Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 45%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 50%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (65.4% Biden, 32.2% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 76.5% (23rd highest of 50 states)
- Maryland’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
49. Colorado
Source: milehightraveler / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 46%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 33%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (55.4% Biden, 41.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 85.0% (the highest of 50 states)
- Colorado’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
48. Illinois
Source: Scott Olson / Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 47%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 44%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (57.5% Biden, 40.6% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 75.3% (25th lowest of 50 states)
- Illinois’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 19 votes
47. Vermont
Source: Alex Wong / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 48%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 41%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (66.1% Biden, 30.7% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 82.4% (6th highest of 50 states)
- Vermont’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
46. Massachusetts
Source: Scott Eisen / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 48%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 48%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (65.6% Biden, 32.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 76.7% (21st highest of 50 states)
- Massachusetts’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 11 votes
45. Washington
Source: Photo by Ron Wurzer / Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 48%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 43%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (58.0% Biden, 38.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 79.5% (14th highest of 50 states)
- Washington’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 12 votes
44. Michigan
Source: John Moore / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 49%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 40%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (50.6% Biden, 47.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 82.1% (8th highest of 50 states)
- Michigan’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 15 votes
43. Connecticut
Source: Spencer Platt / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 50%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 44%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (59.3% Biden, 39.2% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.5% (11th lowest of 50 states)
- Connecticut’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 7 votes
42. Wisconsin
Source: Handout / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 50%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 38%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (49.4% Biden, 48.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 84.2% (4th highest of 50 states)
- Wisconsin’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
41. Oregon
Source: jbentley09 / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 51%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 42%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (56.5% Biden, 40.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 84.7% (2nd highest of 50 states)
- Oregon’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 8 votes
40. Minnesota
Source: Stephen Maturen / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 51%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 29%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (52.4% Biden, 45.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 82.3% (7th highest of 50 states)
- Minnesota’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
39. Delaware
Source: Win McNamee / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 52%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 46%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (58.7% Biden, 39.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.8% (15th lowest of 50 states)
- Delaware’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
38. New Mexico
Source: Rick Scibelli / Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 52%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 39%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (54.3% Biden, 43.5% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 79.7% (13th highest of 50 states)
- New Mexico’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 5 votes
37. Hawaii
Source: okimo / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 53%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 43%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (63.7% Biden, 34.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.2% (17th highest of 50 states)
- Hawaii’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
36. Nevada
Source: Ethan Miller / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 53%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 38%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (50.1% Biden, 47.7% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.2% (16th highest of 50 states)
- Nevada’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
35. California
Source: David McNew / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 53%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 43%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (63.5% Biden, 34.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 76.6% (22nd highest of 50 states)
- California’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 54 votes
34. New Hampshire
Source: Spencer Platt / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 54%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 42%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (52.7% Biden, 45.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 81.3% (10th highest of 50 states)
- New Hampshire’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
33. Rhode Island
Source: SeanPavonePhoto / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 55%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 37%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (59.4% Biden, 38.6% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 73.2% (21st lowest of 50 states)
- Rhode Island’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
32. New Jersey
Source: Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 55%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 38%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (57.3% Biden, 41.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 71.6% (17th lowest of 50 states)
- New Jersey’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 14 votes
31. New York
Source: Pool / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 55%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 45%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (60.9% Biden, 37.7% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 74.5% (22nd lowest of 50 states)
- New York’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 28 votes
30. Texas
Source: Sergio Flores / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 55%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 36%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (46.5% Biden, 52.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 72.0% (19th lowest of 50 states)
- Texas’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 40 votes
29. Iowa
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 56%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 32%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (44.9% Biden, 53.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.2% (10th lowest of 50 states)
- Iowa’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
28. Arizona
Source: Ralph Freso / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 56%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 41%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (49.4% Biden, 49.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 79.9% (12th highest of 50 states)
- Arizona’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 11 votes
27. North Carolina
Source: Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 56%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 36%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (48.6% Biden, 49.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 75.0% (24th lowest of 50 states)
- North Carolina’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 16 votes
26. Alaska
Source: Jacob Boomsma / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 57%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 40%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (42.8% Biden, 52.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 75.6% (25th highest of 50 states)
- Alaska’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
25. Georgia
Source: Elijah Nouvelage / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 57%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 39%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (49.5% Biden, 49.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 82.0% (9th highest of 50 states)
- Georgia’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 16 votes
24. Florida
Source: Joe Raedle / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 57%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 38%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (47.9% Biden, 51.2% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 77.5% (20th highest of 50 states)
- Florida’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 30 votes
23. Louisiana
Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 58%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 32%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (39.9% Biden, 58.5% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 71.1% (16th lowest of 50 states)
- Louisiana’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 8 votes
22. Virginia
Source: Alex Wong / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 58%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 39%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (54.1% Biden, 44.0% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 71.7% (18th lowest of 50 states)
- Virginia’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 13 votes
21. Pennsylvania
Source: Drew Angerer / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 58%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 41%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (50.0% Biden, 48.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 83.4% (5th highest of 50 states)
- Pennsylvania’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 19 votes
20. South Carolina
Source: Spencer Platt / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 59%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 31%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (43.4% Biden, 55.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 69.7% (9th lowest of 50 states)
- South Carolina’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 9 votes
19. Ohio
Source: John Sommers II / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 59%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 34%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (45.2% Biden, 53.3% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.7% (14th lowest of 50 states)
- Ohio’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 17 votes
18. Kansas
Source: Julie Denesha / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 60%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 31%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (41.6% Biden, 56.2% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.1% (19th highest of 50 states)
- Kansas’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
17. Utah
Source: George Frey / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 61%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 28%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (37.6% Biden, 58.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.4% (15th highest of 50 states)
- Utah’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
16. Missouri
Source: f11photo / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 61%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 33%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (41.4% Biden, 56.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 69.6% (8th lowest of 50 states)
- Missouri’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 10 votes
15. Maine
Source: SeanPavonePhoto / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 62%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 36%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Biden (53.1% Biden, 44.0% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 84.3% (3rd highest of 50 states)
- Maine’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
14. Kentucky
Source: John Sommers II / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 62%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 22%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (36.2% Biden, 62.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 72.8% (20th lowest of 50 states)
- Kentucky’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 8 votes
13. Mississippi
Source: Drew Angerer / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 63%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 35%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (41.1% Biden, 57.6% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 63.9% (3rd lowest of 50 states)
- Mississippi’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
12. Alabama
Source: SeanPavonePhoto / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 63%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 30%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (36.6% Biden, 62.0% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 67.5% (5th lowest of 50 states)
- Alabama’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 9 votes
11. Montana
Source: Justin Sullivan / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 64%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 25%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (40.5% Biden, 56.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 80.9% (11th highest of 50 states)
- Montana’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
10. Arkansas
Source: Justin Sullivan / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 65%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 31%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (34.8% Biden, 62.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.7% (13th lowest of 50 states)
- Arkansas’ 2024 electoral college allocation: 6 votes
9. Idaho
Source: vkbhat / E+ via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 66%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 21%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (33.1% Biden, 63.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 74.7% (23rd lowest of 50 states)
- Idaho’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
8. Oklahoma
Source: Sean Pavone / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 67%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 25%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (32.3% Biden, 65.4% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 69.0% (7th lowest of 50 states)
- Oklahoma’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 7 votes
7. Indiana
Source: Aaron P. Bernstein / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 68%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 30%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (41.0% Biden, 57.0% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 63.1% (2nd lowest of 50 states)
- Indiana’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 11 votes
6. West Virginia
Source: Patrick Smith / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 69%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 30%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (29.7% Biden, 68.6% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 61.3% (the lowest of 50 states)
- West Virginia’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 4 votes
5. South Dakota
Source: peeterv / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 71%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 29%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (35.6% Biden, 61.8% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 76.3% (24th highest of 50 states)
- South Dakota’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
4. Tennessee
Source: Brett Carlsen / Getty Images News via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 71%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 26%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (37.5% Biden, 60.7% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 66.1% (4th lowest of 50 states)
- Tennessee’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 11 votes
3. Nebraska
Source: Davel5957 / iStock via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 72%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 26%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (39.4% Biden, 58.5% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 70.6% (12th lowest of 50 states)
- Nebraska’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 5 votes
2. North Dakota
Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock Unreleased via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 77%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 19%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (31.8% Biden, 65.1% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 68.9% (6th lowest of 50 states)
- North Dakota’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
1. Wyoming
Source: DenisTangneyJr / E+ via Getty Images
- President Biden’s estimated disapproval rating: 83%
- President Biden’s estimated approval rating: 16%
- 2020 presidential election winner: Trump (26.6% Biden, 69.9% Trump)
- Registered voters who participated in Nov. 2022 midterm election: 78.1% (18th highest of 50 states)
- Wyoming’s 2024 electoral college allocation: 3 votes
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