Take Off The Blinders

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published

From Ticker Sense

The over-riding theme among the major business headlines over the weekend was that the stronger than expected employment report caused investors to sell equities as the Fed is now expected to cut rates later rather than sooner. As the chart below shows, the argument is a valid one. Following Friday’s employment report, the odds of a cut before the June meeting declined to 26% from 48% before the meeting.

Odds_of_5_fed_funds_rate

Now we realize that stocks have historically done well during periods when the Fed was cutting rates, but at the same time, we think that investors may be missing the bigger picture while focusing too much on the minutiae of the market. As an investor in the stock market, which environment would you rather invest your hard earned money in — an economy on the downswing and facing the risk of a recession, and therefore in need of stimulus from the Fed, or a steadily (albeit modestly) growing economy doing just fine on its own?

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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