XRP Keeps Stalling Near $1.30. What Would It Take to Break Through?

XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) is stalling near $1.30, with no breakout in sight. It trades at $1.31, hovering between $1.29 and $1.36 since October 14. Although buyers have occasionally pushed the price above the $1.30 to $1.33 range, sellers have quickly regained control.

In the past month, XRP has dropped 11.3%, and it’s down a staggering 49.1% from a year ago, trading nearly 64% below its all-time high of $3.65 recorded on July 17, 2025. Recent news from Ripple, released has not provided the expected boost, as XRP repeatedly failed to stay above $1.33. So what’s causing this stagnation, and what does it take for a breakout?

XRP Is Stuck Around $1.33 Because Recent Buyers Are Cashing Out

One major factor behind XRP’s struggle at this price is that many recent buyers sell as soon as they reach breakeven. The 20-day simple moving average, which represents the average closing price over the past 20 days, stands at $1.33, about 1.5% above the current price. As XRP rises into this range, many of these holders sell to recover their investments, creating a supply wall that halts rallies.

Additionally, a higher resistance level sits at the 50-day average, currently at $1.40, about 6.9% above the current price. Buyers who purchased XRP in late September are facing even larger losses, as it was valued at $1.50 on September 28. These sellers are likely to add selling pressure if the price approaches $1.40.

ETF investors have also pulled back. Spot XRP ETFs, which allow investors to hold XRP through a regular brokerage account, saw no inflows on October 27, following $3.6 million in outflows a day earlier, according to SoSoValue. These funds currently hold about $1.5 billion, down from $1.8 billion in total inflows, suggesting XRP’s value is declining relative to the money invested.

Ripple’s Stablecoin and Brazil News Are Not Moving XRP

Despite Ripple’s recent announcements, buyers are still absent. Ripple USD (CRYPTO: RLUSD), a stablecoin designed to maintain a $1 value, went live on Coinbase Global (NASDAQ: COIN | COIN Price Prediction), and Moody’s (NYSE: MCO) gave it an A2 rating. Furthermore, Brazilian bank Itaú Unibanco (NYSE: ITUB) registered to facilitate XRP trading in Brazil.

Though XRP reached $1.34 in the early hours of October 28, it quickly retreated below $1.33. It touched $1.34 again during a busy morning trading hour, but sellers stepped in shortly after, suggesting crypto traders aren’t willing to buy XRP based on the strength of the recent news.

XRP’s Struggles Highlight Diminishing Buyer Interest, With Support Near $1.27

For the past two weeks, XRP has followed a consistent pattern. On October 16, it peaked at $1.35 before closing at $1.31. Shortly after, on October 21, it climbed to $1.40 and finished at $1.36, then pulled back to $1.31. Subsequent attempts have faltered faster—on October 23, XRP briefly touched $1.33 but closed at $1.29, and a similar scenario unfolded on October 27.

Additionally, buyer participation has decreased significantly. In late September, when XRP hovered near $1.50, high-volume trading sessions saw over 100 million XRP change hands, worth around $150 million.

In contrast, the October 27 attempt to reach $1.33 involved only about 45.7 million XRP, or about $61 million. This suggests less enthusiasm in recent breakout attempts, making it harder to overcome selling pressure.

On the downside, support sits at about $1.27, roughly 3% below the current price, marking the low from October 26. The next key support level is around $1.25, about 4.4% lower and the low from October 24, aligning with XRP’s trading range between $1.25 and $1.40 observed during the week of October 19 to 25.

The long-term trend gauge, the 200-day moving average, is at $1.28, just above the initial support level.

XRP Is Holding Steady Against Ethereum, but Whales Control Most of the Supply

Compared with larger cryptocurrencies, XRP has somewhat followed Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) trends on shorter time frames. Over the last week, XRP fell 4.9%, versus Bitcoin’s 4.7% and Ethereum’s 7.1%. In the past month, XRP’s 11.3% drop is deeper than Bitcoin’s 3.3% fall and slightly less than Ethereum’s 12.8% drop.

XRP’s performance relative to Ethereum may be influenced by its larger holders. Wallets holding at least 10 million XRP control about 68.5% of the supply, totaling around 46.87 billion tokens worth about $61 billion, the highest concentration since November 2022, according to Santiment.

While these “whales” can help stabilize prices, their large holdings also pose a risk: a few major sellers could flood the market if XRP approaches $1.33.

Can an XRP Breakout Clear $1.33 and Retake the 50-Day Average at $1.40?

Currently, it seems unlikely for XRP to achieve a sustained breakout. It needs to close above the $1.33 range on higher volume, something it hasn’t done all month. This range aligns with the 20-day average and the October 27 high. If XRP breaks through this cluster, it could move toward the 50-day average at $1.40, but for now, the outlook remains cautious.

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