We get a version of this question almost every week. Someone has a single pension and has been told The Villages is the affordable answer in Florida. They want to know if the math actually works on one income. Here is what it really takes.
What The Villages actually costs a single retiree
Start with the house. A patio villa or small courtyard villa in the older sections runs in the low to mid $300,000s, while a designer home north of 466A pushes past $500,000. For context, the overall median sale price across The Villages came in at roughly $355,000 through the three months ending May 2026, down about 2% year-over-year as the market has cooled from its pandemic-era highs. Assume a single retiree pays cash for a roughly $325,000 villa. Property taxes in Sumter County land near $3,500 a year on that value, and Florida homeowners insurance has been a volatile line item for several years. The good news for inland buyers: Sumter County, well removed from the coast, averages closer to $1,620 to $2,200 a year on a $300,000 home, far below the statewide headline figures. A wind-included policy on a modest home there is realistic in the $2,000 to $2,800 range, and Florida’s tort reform push has begun producing modest rate relief, with the state’s insurer of last resort cutting its rates 8.7% in 2026 for the first time since 2015.
Then come the hidden line items. The monthly amenity fee runs around $200, indexed annually to CPI. Most homes carry a CDD bond, the infrastructure debt baked into the property at closing, that can range from $10,000 to $30,000 in remaining principal with annual payments of $1,200 to $2,500 until retired. A fire assessment and trash add a few hundred more. Call the non-tax community carrying cost roughly $4,500 a year before you turn on a light.
Healthcare at 65 is Medicare. Part B costs $202.90 a month in 2026, up about 10% from $185 in 2025, with a $283 annual deductible. Add a Medigap Plan G (roughly $160 to $200 a month in central Florida for a 65-year-old), a Part D drug plan around $40, and dental and vision out of pocket, and the annual healthcare tab reaches $5,800 to $6,500 before any serious illness.
Food for one on the USDA Moderate plan runs about $4,800 a year, and Villages residents eat out regularly, so budget another $3,000 for the town squares. Electric in a small Florida home with summer AC averages $180 a month. Water and sewer add $80. A car is non-negotiable for medical appointments and warehouse runs even with a golf cart, and gas was $4.05 a gallon in June 2026. Between fuel, insurance, registration, and the golf cart itself (purchase, batteries every five to seven years, maintenance), transportation lands around $5,500 a year.
A working all-in budget for a single retiree who owns the home outright:
- Property tax, insurance, amenity, CDD, utilities: about $13,500
- Healthcare (Medicare + Medigap + Part D + dental): about $6,200
- Food and dining: about $7,800
- Transportation: about $5,500
- Home maintenance, replacements, gifts, travel, reserves: about $9,000
- Federal income tax on pension and withdrawals: about $3,500
That comes to roughly $45,500 a year, call it $46,000 to be conservative. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports average household spending at $78,535 for 2024, but a single, mortgage-free retiree in The Villages can credibly run leaner than the national all-household average.
Does one pension actually clear it
A single retiree claiming Social Security at full retirement age in 2026 averages just under $25,000 a year, with the 2.8% COLA providing partial inflation defense. Florida has no state income tax, so the pension income lands gross with no state bite.
If the pension is $30,000 gross, combined gross income is $55,000, which clears the $46,000 budget with a manageable cushion. If the pension is $20,000, the shortfall is about $1,000 a year, and that gap divided by a 3.75% withdrawal rate (appropriate for someone retiring at 65 and planning to age 95) implies a portfolio of roughly $27,000 to fill it. If the pension is only $15,000, the gap is closer to $6,000 a year, requiring roughly $160,000 invested. The structurally sound version of this scenario is a pension of at least $24,000 plus a $150,000 to $250,000 cushion in a balanced portfolio of index funds and a short treasury ladder.
Delaying Social Security from 65 to 70 lifts that base benefit by roughly a third, which is the single biggest lever a pension-only retiree holds. Each year of delay past full retirement age adds about 8%, and that increase is itself COLA-indexed for life. For someone with a modest pension who can bridge the gap from savings, those added dollars compound over a 25-year retirement into a significant margin of safety.
The line items nobody underwrites: insurance and the bond
Most analyses of The Villages miss two critical items: the CDD bond and homeowners insurance. Both behave nothing like the rest of the budget. Healthcare costs rise predictably and people plan for that. Florida insurance is the blind spot. After compounding at double-digit rates for several years, the state’s market is showing early signs of stabilization, driven by tort reform that curtailed frivolous lawsuits and reduced assignment-of-benefits abuse. But even with modest 2026 relief, premiums still run well above where they stood five years ago. Over a 25-year retirement, this one line item can consume $100,000 or more in current dollars, and unlike a mortgage it never amortizes away.
The CDD bond is the second blind spot. Buyers see the home price but often do not notice the $18,000 or more in attached infrastructure debt with interest that survives the closing. Paying it off at purchase, when cash allows, is usually the right move for a fixed-income retiree. It removes a non-deductible annual obligation that does not shrink with inflation.
The takeaway
The Villages on a single pension works, but only on specific terms. The house needs to be paid for, the pension needs to be at least roughly $24,000 indexed or near-indexed, Social Security should be claimed as late as cash flow allows, and there should be a side portfolio of $150,000 to $250,000 for the gap years and the insurance creep. A 3.75% withdrawal rate against that cushion, a paid-off CDD bond, and a realistic $46,000 to $52,000 annual budget represents the version of this plan that survives 25 years of Florida weather and Florida premiums. Florida has no state income tax, which helps the pension stretch further than it would in most states. Anything less than the framework above, and the brochure is doing the talking.
Editor’s note: This update corrects the homeowners insurance estimate to reflect Sumter County’s lower inland rates (approximately $1,620 to $2,200 annually on a $300,000 home), notes Florida’s first Citizens Property Insurance rate cut since 2015, and refreshes the Social Security average benefit to just under $25,000 annually based on the May 2026 SSA snapshot.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.