Live: Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) Blows Out Earnings – Azure Is On Fire
Key Points
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Microsoft reports its Fiscal Q4 earnings after the bell tonight.
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Here’s what Wall Street is expecting:
- Revenue: $73.83 billion
- Adjusted EPS: $3.38
- Free Cash Flow: $20.8 billion
In addition, strong growth will be expected from the company’s Azure unit.
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More Azure Numbers
Microsoft finally gave Azure numbers today, saying the business recorded $75 billion in revenue for the fiscal year. Here’s what’s amazing: Azure’s run rate is even higher at $86 billion and the business is growing at a 39% pace.
That’s a significant acceleration from two quarters ago, when Azure was growing at a 31% growth rate.
Growth Rates
| Metric | Q4 25 | Q4 24 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $76.44B | $69.63B | 9.78% |
| Operating Income | $34.32B | $31.65B | 8.44% |
| Net Income | $27.23B | $24.11B | 12.96% |
Microsoft Details
Microsoft Corporation reported strong financial results for Q4 25, with revenue reaching $76.4 billion, an 18% increase year-over-year. The company’s operating income rose to $34.3 billion, a 23% increase, while net income was $27.2 billion, up 24%.
Diluted earnings per share were $3.65, surpassing the estimated EPS. The growth was largely driven by the company’s cloud and AI services, with Azure revenue increasing by 34%. Microsoft Cloud revenue reached $46.7 billion, marking a 27% year-over-year growth.
The company returned $9.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Microsoft’s fiscal year 2025 results showed a total revenue of $281.7 billion, a 15% increase from the previous year.
Microsoft Finally Breaks Out Azure Revenue
For the first time ever Microsoft revealed Azure revenue: it was over $75 billion for the just finished fiscal year.
The Numbers
Here’s what Wall Street expected:
- Revenue: $73.83 billion
- Adjusted EPS: $3.38
- Free Cash Flow: $20.8 billion
And here’s what Microsoft delivered:
- EPS of $3.65
- Revenue of $76.4 billion
Azure grew at 39% ex-currency, that’s way above expectations of 34%.
Big Beat
Shares are immediately up 6%. More details to come.
It's Almost Time..
Get your popcorn ready, because Microsoft earnings should hit very shortly after the 4 p.m. bell. As one final reminder, all you have to do is leave this page open and updates will automatically appear. We expect to provide 5 to 10 updates with news and analysis in the half hour after Microsoft’s report.
Microsoft Shares Fall
If you just went to Google and saw Microsoft shares plummeting late in the day, there’s no need for alarm.
At around 3 p.m. Jerome Powell said there has been no decision made on cutting rates at the September meeting. Immediately after the comment Treasury yields jumped 6 basis points and stocks fell.
Point being: This is a broader market sell-off and nothing related to Microsoft uniquely.
Watch Azure Growth Rates Tonight
Azure is expected to grow by 34.4%, which is an acceleration from its 33% growth rate in March.
Another area to watch is where the company guides Fiscal 2026 Capital Expenditure plans. Data provider S&P CapitalIQ has the Wall Street consensus at $80.5 billion in capex next year. That would likely put Microsoft below the expected spend of Google, Meta, and Amazon.
However, Microsoft has pulled back on some of its more ambitious plans in the wake of OpenAI partnering more closely with Oracle.
The Fed May Move Markets Soon
The announcement of Q2 GDP figures has shaped most the morning’s trading, but as a reminder we could see some volatility before Microsoft’s earnings when Jerome Powell holds a press conference at 2:30.
Betting markets currently place 99% odds that there will be no rate change today, but any commentary from Powell about the Federal Reserve’s outlook for the second half of the year could move markets.
So, if you see Microsoft’s stock moving before earnings, it’s likely less news about Microsft itself and instead related to Powell’s press conference.
What Wall Street is Saying About Microsoft
Jefferies issued a note on Microsoft on July 15th with analyst Brent Thill saying he’s “very positive” on Microsoft. Thill cited a survey that indicates Copilot could see $11 billion in calendar 2026 revenue.
Jefferies maintains a $600 price target on Microsoft.
Microsoft Is Flat Ahead of Earnings
The Nasdaq is seeing relatively strong gains of .45% today after GDP growth came in at a surprising 3% rate in Q2. However, Microsoft is slightly trailing the index before earnings.
Shares are up .2% as of 10:50 a.m. ET. NVIDIA leads Magnificent 7 stocks with a 1.7% gain.
Here's What Wall Street Expects from Microsoft Tonight
Now that we’ve previewed what Microsoft reported last quarter, let’s look ahead to what Wall Street is expecting tonight.
Wall Street Fiscal Q4 Consensus For Microsoft
- Revenue: $73.83 billion
- Adjusted EPS: $3.38
- Free Cash Flow: $20.8 billion
And looking ahead to guidance for next quarter:
- Revenue: $74.2 billion
- Adjusted EPS: $3.54
- Free Cash Flow: $24.1 billion
Beyond these figures, the number one figure Wall Street will be watching is Azure growth rates. Google just reported above-consensus growth for its cloud unit, so expectations for Microsoft will be for a solid beat from Azure.
Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) reports its Fiscal Q4 earnings after the bell today, and the company has some very high expectations to live up to.
After all, Microsoft shares have rallied 22.5% year-to-date and 45% since April 8th. What’s driving the optimism?
For one, progress in AI has been incredible. Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL) released earnings last week, and its cloud business soundly beat expectations. That raises expectations for what Microsoft’s Azure unit will report when the company announces earnings tomorrow.
Let’s look back at what Microsoft reported last quarter, and what Wall Street is expecting this quarter.
As a note: live updates will continue pushing throughout the day, and once Microsoft reports earnings, we expect to post more than 10 new updates in the next half hour.
You’ll be able to get all the Microsoft news & analysis you can handle if you leave this page open throughout the day. Updates will post automatically, so leave this page open and you can periodically check back in and once Microsoft reports, we’ll issue a flurry of updates with analysis of why the stock is either soaring or falling.
A Look Back at Microsoft’s Last Earnings
- Adjusted EPS: $3.46 (Beat)
- Revenue: $70.1 billion (Beat)
And some highlights
- Microsoft reported strong financial results for the third quarter ending March 31, 2025, with revenue reaching $70.1 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year.
- Operating income rose by 16% to $32.0 billion, while net income increased by 18% to $25.8 billion. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $3.46, surpassing the estimated EPS of $3.35.
- The company’s cloud segment was a significant growth driver, with Microsoft Cloud revenue up 20% year-over-year, reaching $42.4 billion.
- The Intelligent Cloud segment saw a 21% increase in revenue, driven by a 33% growth in Azure and other cloud services.
- Microsoft returned $9.7 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter.
- CEO Satya Nadella emphasized the role of cloud and AI in driving business expansion and innovation.
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