GameStop’s Next Big Move Could Matter More Than Its Earnings
Ryan Cohen is sitting on a war chest worth billions, and what he chooses to do with it before Tuesday's close could matter far more to GameStop investors than any revenue line in the…
Bullish: Fortress balance sheet + Bitcoin optionality
Bearish: Core gaming hardware/software in secular decline
Neutral: Absent strategy from management limits conviction.
GameStop did not issue forward guidance in the release. Analysts had been modeling FY2026 revenue of $3.52B and EPS of $0.73; no formal update means Street models stay in place.
| Metric | Prior Consensus | New Guidance | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY26 Revenue | $3.52B | N/A | ⚖️ Flat |
| FY26 EPS | $0.73 | N/A | ⚖️ Flat |
Collectibles now make up nearly a quarter of sales, SG&A leverage drove profitability, and the fortress balance sheet provides both security and optionality.
| KPI | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | $972.2M | $798.3M | +21.8% |
| Gross Margin | 29.1% | 31.2% | –210 bps |
| SG&A | $218.8M | $270.8M | –19% |
| Net Income | $168.6M | $14.8M | >10x |
| Collectibles Mix | 23.4% | 17.5% | +590 bps |
| Cash & Securities | $8.7B | $4.2B | +106% |
| Bitcoin Holdings | $528.6M | N/A | New |
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Beat/Miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $972.2M | $823.3M | ✅ Beat |
| EPS (Adj.) | $0.31 | $0.16 | ✅ Beat |
Guidance: Not provided (no update in release).
Analyst Take: GameStop crushed expectations with revenue up 22% YoY and adjusted EPS nearly doubling Street forecasts. Massive cash pile ($8.7B) and $528M Bitcoin position give optionality, but the print raises fresh volatility questions given digital asset exposure.
Stock up 2.4% so far and more movement likely.
GameStop will close the day out on a high note before earnings are released. Despite being down 23% in 2025, the stock has creeped higher the past month. Numbers will be coming shortly as well as our input on this past quarter.
| Quarter | EPS Surprise | 1-Day Move | 7-Day Move | 14-Day Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | +325% | –5.31% | –22.19% | –21.46% |
| Q4 2024 | +275% | +1.35% | –3.81% | –3.54% |
| Q3 2024 | +300% | +0.29% | –1.37% | +3.34% |
| Q2 2024 | +112% | –1.91% | +3.86% | –8.47% |
Live coverage has ended. The full story is below.
GameStop (NYSE: GME | GME Price Prediction) reports fiscal Q2 results after the close. The Q1 release in June highlighted cost cuts, divestitures, and a surprising swing to adjusted profitability despite ongoing revenue erosion. For Q2, attention shifts to whether these trends can continue against a shrinking top line, as well as how management positions the business heading into the holiday season.
Consensus implies 3% revenue growth YoY versus $0.01 EPS in Q2 2024. For FY26, revenue is expected to decline nearly 8% YoY, but EPS is forecast to more than double on efficiency gains.
SG&A leverage – Q1 SG&A dropped to $228.1M from $295.1M last year, enabling $27.5M in adjusted operating income. Investors want to see if this leaner cost base holds.
Category mix – Collectibles rose to 28.9% of sales in Q1, while hardware and software shrank. Mix will be key to sustaining gross margin.
Restructuring progress – The Canada divestiture closed in May, France remains classified as held-for-sale. Investors will look for any further portfolio moves.
Cash and Bitcoin – Cash and equivalents totaled $6.4B at Q1 close, but management disclosed purchases of 4,710 Bitcoin during May–June. This adds balance sheet volatility.
Inventory and holiday setup – Inventory was cut sharply to $421M from $676M LY, signaling caution but raising questions on readiness for holiday demand.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
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