SoFi’s Price Prediction: The Case for Double-Digit Upside

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By Vandita Jadeja Published

Quick Read

  • SOFI trades 34% below its 52-week high, but 30% revenue growth and 10 consecutive profitable quarters support a $19.60 BUY target.

  • Anthony Noto purchased 13,888 shares at $18.06 in June, part of $2.35 million in insider buying over the past 12 months.

  • Muddy Waters' short-seller allegations and a 27% drop in Technology Platform revenue are the primary risks threatening the bull case.

  • Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and SoFi Technologies didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

SoFi’s Price Prediction: The Case for Double-Digit Upside

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SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI | SOFI Price Prediction) has been one of the most punished fintech names of 2026, but our model says the selling has gone too far. Our 24/7 Wall St. price target points to double-digit recovery over the next 12 months, supported by 30% growth, accelerating product innovation, and a CEO who keeps buying stock in the open market.

Our 24/7 Wall St. price target for SoFi is $19.60, implying upside of 13.31% from the current $17.30 quote. We rate shares a buy with high confidence (90%).

An infographic titled 'SoFi Technologies Inc. SOFI • Nasdaq 12-Month Price Prediction'. The top section, 'THE CALL', shows a current price of $17.30, an arrow pointing to a 24/7 Wall St. Price Target of $19.60, and '+13.31% Upside', with a 'BUY' recommendation and '90% Confidence'. Below, 'HOW WE GOT THERE' lists Weighted Contributions: Trailing P/E-Based: $17.30, Forward P/E-Based: $16.98, and Analyst Consensus: $20.90. The 'OUR ADJUSTMENTS' section features a waterfall chart starting with a Weighted Base of $18.22, showing increases for Earnings Acceleration (+0.03), Mixed Analyst Views (+0.01), and Financial Services Tailwinds (+), followed by decreases for High Volatility (-) and Cautious Retail Sentiment (1.076), culminating in a Final Target of $19.60. The 'BULL CASE: What Could Go Right' section lists positive factors like FY2026 Guidance, Insider Buying, and Product Innovation, with a Bull Case Target of $25.07 (+44.9%). The 'BEAR CASE: What Could Go Wrong' section lists negative factors such as Technology Platform Revenue decline, Personal Loan Charge-Offs, and Regulatory Scrutiny, with a Bear Case Target of $17.34. The bottom line reiterates 'BUY | $19.60 Target | +13.31% Upside' and states: 'Fundamentally strong with 30% growth targets and insider conviction, despite recent volatility'. The logo '24/7 Wall St' is at the very bottom.
24/7 Wall St.
Metric Value
Current Price $17.30
24/7 Wall St. Price Target $19.60
Upside 13.31%
Recommendation BUY
Confidence Level 90%

A Rough 2026, But the Story Is Changing

SoFi has shed 33.92% year to date and sits 36% below its 52-week high of $32.73. Yet the past month tells a different story: shares are up 8.26% as investors digest catalysts.

Q1 2026 results, filed April 29, 2026, delivered revenue of $1.10 billion (topping estimates by 5%) and EPS of $0.12, in line with estimates. Net income jumped 134.45% YoY to $166.73 million, and loan originations hit a record $12.18 billion, up 68% YoY.

Since then, SoFi launched the SoFiUSD stablecoin with a Mastercard settlement partnership, acquired Composer Securities for AI-driven retail trading, and rolled out SoFi Coach.

SOFI earnings explorer

Why Bulls See a Breakout Ahead

The bull case rests on SoFi’s compounding ecosystem. Management is guiding to FY2026 adjusted revenue of $4.655 billion (~30% growth), adjusted EBITDA of $1.6 billion, and adjusted EPS of $0.60. Medium-term, leadership targets an adjusted EPS CAGR of 38% to 42% through 2028.

Anthony Noto purchased 13,888 shares on June 16 at roughly $18.06, framing the quarter as “We had an excellent Q1 delivering another quarter of durable growth and strong returns.”

Insiders have bought $2.35 million worth of stock over the past 12 months. Add stablecoin optionality, the Composer AI acquisition, and a Rule of 40 score of 72%, and our bull case scenario reaches $25.07, a 44.9% total return.

SOFI price target

The Risks Worth Watching

Technology Platform revenue fell 27% YoY on a large client departure, personal loan charge-offs ticked up sequentially to 3.03%, and net interest margin compressed by 63 bps in average asset yields. Short seller Muddy Waters has alleged aggressive accounting, and a class-action investigation is open. Morningstar trimmed its fair value to $17 from $19, and Zacks rates shares a #4 (Sell).

The Tech Platform weakness reflects one lumpy client loss from a single contract rolling off, and credit metrics remain well inside management’s 7% to 8% net cumulative loss assumption. Our bear case scenario sees just $17.34, essentially flat.

SoFi Price Prediction 2026-2030

The 24/7 Wall St. price target sits at $19.60, a buy rating with 90% confidence. The gap between fundamentals (30% growth, 10 straight GAAP-profitable quarters, record originations) and a stock cut by a third year to date makes this compelling.

The thesis hinges on tolerance for the 2.15 beta and exposure to fintech’s most diversified profitable platform. The setup weakens if Muddy Waters’ allegations gain traction or if charge-off rates accelerate beyond management’s loss tolerance band.

Year 24/7 Wall St. Price Target
2026 $19.60
2027 $21.50
2028 $23.40
2029 $24.90
2030 $26.37

These projections assume SoFi sustains 30% revenue CAGR and steady margin expansion. Significant upside could come from stablecoin adoption at scale or S&P 500 inclusion. Downside risk centers on credit deterioration or regulatory pressure on the digital asset strategy.

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About the Author Vandita Jadeja →

Vandita Jadeja is a financial copywriter who loves to read and write about stocks. She believes in buying and holding for long term gains. Her knowledge of words and numbers helps her write clear stock analysis. She has contributed to several publications, including the Joy Wallet, Benzinga, The Motley Fool and InvestorPlace.

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