One Wall Street Analyst Thinks SoFi Stock Could Jump 20%. Here’s Why.

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By Vandita Jadeja Published

Quick Read

  • SOFI sits 39% off its 52-week high, yet Piper Sandler just initiated Overweight and Q2 delivered a record $14.8 billion in loan originations.

  • HOOD commands a $75 billion market cap versus SOFI's $23 billion, suggesting SoFi trades at a meaningful discount despite comparable growth rates.

  • The most widely read finance newsletter on Substack isn't published by a bank, it's Doomberg, where 383,000+ readers get the energy and macro analysis the mainstream press misses. 24/7 Wall St. readers save 17% on their first year here.

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One Wall Street Analyst Thinks SoFi Stock Could Jump 20%. Here’s Why.

© Sofi

SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI | SOFI Price Prediction) has set up attractively after a brutal first half of 2026. Our 24/7 Wall St. price target is $21, roughly a 17.3% move from the current price of $17.89. That aligns with the 20% gain some bull analysts see: this is a buy, with high model confidence.

An infographic from 24/7 Wall St. titled  
24/7 Wall St.

24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary

Metric Value
Current Price $17.89
24/7 Wall St. Price Target $21.00
Implied Upside 17.3%
Recommendation BUY
Confidence Level 90%

A Rough YTD, but the Trend Is Turning

SoFi shares are down 29.64% year to date and 19.03% over the last year, still 39% off the 52-week high of $32.73. The recent trend is friendlier: up 8.29% in the past month, with Piper Sandler initiating coverage this week at Overweight.

Q2 results support the turn. SoFi delivered EPS of $0.12 versus $0.1092 expected, extended its beat streak to five consecutive quarters, and posted record loan originations of $14.8 billion. Management raised full-year adjusted revenue guidance to $4.75 billion to $4.85 billion.

SOFI price target

Why Bulls See a Breakout Ahead

The bull case rests on the “everything app” flywheel. Members grew 35% YoY to 15.8 million, products grew 42%, and 51% of new products came from existing members, up from 35% a year ago. SoFi Plus crossed 200,000 paid subscribers, and CEO Anthony Noto said he would be disappointed if it were not at 1 million members generating $120 million in annual revenue within a year.

The Loan Platform Business offers real optionality: a $1 billion agreement with Sixth Street and a $3 billion deal with Basepoint Capital extend capital-light revenue into small business and home equity. If bulls are right, the bull-case path implies a one-year price of $25.57, roughly 43% upside.

SOFI analyst ratings

What Could Go Wrong

The Technology Platform segment saw revenue fall 23% YoY after a large client departure. The segment grew 13% sequentially, and the Peach Finance acquisition broadens SoFi Tech Solutions into cards and BNPL, but client concentration risk is real.

Rates pose a second concern: management now expects one to two hikes in 2026 versus two cuts baked into original guidance, which dragged full-year EPS guidance to $0.60 from an implied $0.65. The bear-case path takes SoFi to $18.16, essentially flat.

SOFI price scenario

How SoFi Compares to Robinhood and LendingClub

Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) posted Q2 EPS of $0.62 on 32% revenue growth and carries a market cap of $75.3 billion, more than 3x SoFi’s $23.1 billion. HOOD’s richer multiple on comparable growth suggests SoFi looks reasonably valued at 30x forward earnings.

LendingClub (NYSE:LC) guides FY2026 EPS to $1.80 to $1.90 with originations of $12.2 to $12.6 billion. That is below SoFi’s single quarter of $14.8 billion, and LC trades at a much thinner $2.14 billion market cap. The peer set makes our $21 target reasonable, not aggressive.

SoFi Price Prediction 2026-2030

The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $21 and buy recommendation stand, with 90% model confidence. The scale tips on origination momentum plus a re-rating catalyst from the Piper Sandler initiation.

The thesis strengthens if the Technology Platform segment shows sequential growth next quarter and net interest margin holds above 5%. The thesis weakens if benchmark rates keep grinding higher and personal-loan charge-offs push above 3%.

Year 24/7 Wall St. Price Target
2026 $19.22
2027 $22.50
2028 $25.00
2029 $27.50
2030 $29.65

These projections assume SoFi hits its medium-term guide of a 30%+ adjusted revenue CAGR and 38% to 42% adjusted EPS CAGR through 2028. Meaningful upside or downside could come from Loan Platform Business scaling or a sharp shift in the rate cycle.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

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About the Author Vandita Jadeja →

Vandita Jadeja is a financial copywriter who loves to read and write about stocks. She believes in buying and holding for long term gains. Her knowledge of words and numbers helps her write clear stock analysis. She has contributed to several publications, including the Joy Wallet, Benzinga, The Motley Fool and InvestorPlace.

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