Investors beat down Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META | META Price Prediction) stock to under $100 per share in the fall of 2022. That was from $370 barely a year before. The stock has made a round trip from that earlier level and closed at an all-time high above $384. The market cap is just shy of $1 trillion.
Meta’s revenue was soft in 2022. Its numbers rely almost completely on ad sales. What was to be a looming recession prompted worries that marketing budgets would be cut. Meta could not restart its multiyear growth machine if that happened.
Additionally, investors hated CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s investment in the Metaverse, an ill-defined attempt to bring a virtual world to the masses. This investment reached $14 billion, and Zuckerberg had nothing to show in sales or any genuine consumer interest. (Apple could buy these 25 huge companies with cash right now.)
Zuckerberg backed down from burning money on the Metaverse and laid off over 10,000 people early last year, about 12% of Meta’s total. What was left was Meta’s core business, which was advertising revenue on Facebook.
The turnaround worked. And quarterly results, which will be announced in a matter of days, should confirm that. In the most recently reported quarter, revenue rose 21% year over year to $34.1 billion. Cost cuts work well. Net income rose 168% to $11.6 billion. Zuckerberg listened to Wall Street and the shareholder payoff was huge.
What Happens Next?
Based on digital ad revenue worldwide, Facebook has a market share of 18%. That is topped only by Google’s 33%. Known informally as the “duopoly,” their share of the U.S. digital market has been falling. Amazon has had growing success in the market. Video platforms like TikTok have begun to take small bites of market share as well. Based on Meta’s share price, investors are not concerned so far.
The good thing about Meta Platforms for investors is that its success is easy to track. How well is digital advertising doing? On the other hand, a drop in the sector is easy to spot as well. Meta can ride that ad revenue wave as long as it continues.
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