This State Is About to Get Hit Hard by Drought

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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This State Is About to Get Hit Hard by Drought

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Drought conditions in some of the Western states are as bad as they have been in recorded history. The U.S. Drought Monitor measures conditions across the country, and the worst level of drought exists in large portions of California, Washington, and Oregon. Colorado and Montana have been hit hard. The worst situation is in Nevada. Over the next few months, however, the state that is about to get hit hard by drought is Florida.

Once a year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, issues its NOAA Winter Outlook. The outlook is for December of this year through February 2022 and covers three primary weather conditions: precipitation, temperature, and drought.

Temperatures are likely to be higher than normal across the South and lower than normal in the Northwest. Precipitation will likely be below normal from southern California across Arizona and New Mexico to southern Texas as well as in Florida. Precipitation is likely to be above average in the upper Midwest and Northwest. (These are the hottest inhabited places on Earth.)

In terms of drought, the NOAA forecast categorizes areas by five categories of drought tendency: none, develop, continue or worsen, improve, end.

Some states do not face drought and are not expected to. “The Pacific Northwest, northern California, the upper Midwest, and Hawaii are most likely to experience drought improvement,” according to the NOAA report.

In states where drought conditions are worst, however, conditions are likely to remain the same or deteriorate further. The situation is likely to worsen in the Dakotas. (These are the states with the strongest sunlight.)

The NOAA also marks several areas of the country as “developing drought.” These areas have largely been drought-free but are likely to be hit this winter. This category shows that drought will spread in Texas, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. It will begin to appear in parts of North and South Carolina.

The state where drought is most likely to become widespread is Florida, where the entire southern half of the state is in danger.

To determine the states about to get hit hard by drought, 24/7 Wall St. used NOAA forecasts for states where drought will tend to “continue or worsen” or where drought will “develop.” Some states that already have drought conditions have other geographic areas that will develop drought during the forecasts.

Click here to see the state about to get hit hard by drought

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1. California
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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2. Nevada
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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3. New Mexico
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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4. Arizona
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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5. Utah
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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6. Oklahoma
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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7. North Dakota
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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8. South Dakota
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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9. Wyoming
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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10. Nebraska
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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11. Colorado
> Drought trend: continue or worsen

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12. Kansas
> Drought trend: develop

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13. Texas
> Drought trend: develop

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14. Florida
> Drought trend: develop

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15. Georgia
> Drought trend: develop

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16. South Carolina
> Drought trend: develop

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17. North Carolina
> Drought trend: develop

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18. Virginia
> Drought trend: develop

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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