Why Nothing Goes Right for Sears

By Paul Ausick Updated
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Sears_store
Jim Henderson, via Wikimedia Commons
Sears Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD) reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 results before markets opened on Thursday. The company posted an adjusted earnings per share loss of $0.96 on revenues of $10.59 billion. In the same quarter a year ago, Sears posted EPS of $1.12 on revenues of $12.26 billion. The consensus estimates from Thomson Reuters called for an EPS loss of $1.82 on revenues of $10.57 billion.

For the full year, the retailer’s EPS loss totaled $6.60 on revenues of $36.19 billion, compared with a year-ago EPS loss of $2.51 on revenues of $39.85 billion. The consensus estimates called for a loss of $7.91 per share on revenues of $36.28 billion.

On a GAAP basis the quarterly EPS loss totaled $3.37, compared with a loss of $4.61 in the same period a year ago.

U.S. same-store sales fell 6.4% in the fourth quarter, with sales falling 5.1% at Kmart stores and 7.8% at Sears stores. For the full year same-store sales fell 3.8%, with sales down 3.6% at Kmart and 4.1% at Sears stores.

Sears has started the process of spinning of its Lands’ End business, and there are some bright spots there. Net income grew both quarterly and for the full-year at Lands’ End, as did adjusted EBITDA. Sales, however, slipped from $1.586 billion in 2012 to $1.563 billion in 2013. Not a lot, only about 1.5%, but that still is not going to help any planned spin-off.

Sears did not provide guidance in its earnings press release, but the consensus estimate calls for a first-quarter EPS loss of $1.56 on sales of $8.07 billion. In the first quarter of last year the company posted an EPS loss of $1.54, so nothing much appears to have changed.

The company’s merchandise inventory as of February 1 totaled $7 billion, of which $6.4 billion was held in the United States. That is down $600 million globally and $355 million in the U.S. since the same time last year. The decrease was due to store closures and cuts in “a majority of categories” at both Sears and Kmart stores.

Long-term debt rose $900 million in the past year, to $2.9 billion due to the issuance of a new $1 billion term loan.

Is this better or worse than the report we got Wednesday from J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (NYSE: JCP)? J.C. Penney posted an adjusted EPS loss of $0.68 on revenues of $3.78 billion. Without providing any specific numbers, the company said it expected same-store sales to improve in the fourth quarter and to be better for the full year. Its stock was up nearly 6% in premarket trading Thursday morning.

Sears did not post as large a loss as expected and its revenues beat estimates by a little. Like J.C. Penney, the company had some happy talk about how well things are shaping up if not turning around.

And the stock price? Shares of Sears closed up 3.62% on Wednesday, at $40.40 in a 52-week range of $32.85 to $67.50. Shares were up nearly 6% in Thursday’s premarket trading to $42.75.

The consensus price target from Thomson Reuters is $20.00, from just one analyst. Will the last one out please turn out the lights?

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