The Cracks Form In Prepaid & No-Contract Cellular (LEAP, PCS, S, T, VZ)

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By Jon C. Ogg Updated Published

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MetroPCS Communications, Inc. (NYSE: PCS) is being treated rather poorly after its earnings report missed expectations.  Leap Wireless International Inc. (NASDAQ: LEAP) is being treated even worse.   Competition from Sprint Nextel Corporation (NYSE: S) and T-Mobile USA in the cheap and prepaid phone market is hurting both companies, but the real fear is the reach-down effect which may take place from AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) and from Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ).  Sprint also decided to cancel an acquisition of MetroPCS earlier this year.

MetroPCS added fewer subscribers and phone subsidies increased its operating costs. Net income fell by more than half to $21 million and that translated to a mere $0.06 in earnings per share, but revenue did rise 7% to about $1.27 billion for the quarter.  We had a Thomson Reuters consensus target of $0.17 EPS and $1.29 billion in sales.  That is a poor showing on earnings even if revenue was only a miss worth a footnote. The subscriber additions of just over 131,000 gave MetroPCS 9.4 million subscribers at the end of the quarter, but that was only about half of the add-on subscribers expected.  MetroPCS offers no iPhone.  Can you imagine a no-contract or prepaid iPhone?  Maybe overseas, but not so much here in America.

Leap Wireless posted a wider loss than expected at -$1.28 EPS and its revenue was only up 6% to $825.6 million. Thomson Reuters had estimates of -$0.98 EPS and about $831.7 million in sales. Leap added about 258,000 subscribers in the quarter rather than about 280,000 to 290,000 expected.  Leap is facing higher churn and a slower gain in the average revenue per user.

Leap Wireless shares are down a whopping 23% at $5.90 against a 52-week range of $5.50 to $17.66; MetroPCS shares are down almost 12% at $7.00 at a new 52-week low as the prior 52-week range was $7.51 to $18.79.

JON C. OGG

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. www.247wallst.com.

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