Cars and Drivers

How a Michigan State License Would Help Tesla Recover From Lows

courtesy of Tesla Motors

Things don’t look too good for Tesla Motors Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) as new 52-week lows are setting in below the $170 threshold. This comes on the heels of some embarrassing public relations gaffes for CEO Elon Musk, who actually cancelled a preorder by a popular tech blogger after the blogger had criticized the running of the Model X Launch Event back in September. The move underscores the sour mood ambient around the company lately, and paints Musk in a childish light just when he needs to look like he has things under control.

Unfortunately for Tesla, the stock rode high on nothing more than wishful thinking, catalyzed by some top-line growth that began in 2013, feeding hungry environmentalist dreams. Tesla’s attempts to stand out now are starting to look a little forced, as the up-down opening mechanism of the new Model X’s doors is being mocked as a gimmicky attempt to recreate the failed DMC DeLorean.

Tesla can rise again, but probably not before falling more first. The free equity ride institutional investors have given the company looks to be coming to at least a temporary halt. Market sentiment in general has shifted negatively, and significantly so, and in such times, investors tend to rediscover bottom lines and the importance of actually making money. While nobody is arguing that Tesla’s cars are bad — they are actually quite good and reliable — selling them profitably is another question entirely. Prices are not set by the cost of a product, but by supply and demand. If the meeting point between supply and demand does not exceed the costs of production, the product eventually will fail no matter how much hope it inspires.

There is not much that Tesla can do in the short term to reverse the decline in its stock. Bullish sentiment needs to return first to the markets in general in order for investors to get excited once again about a young development stage company with consistently negative earnings.


But, assuming a bullish trend for stocks in general does resume, what can Tesla do to keep the equity flowing so it can keep selling more cars at a loss? First, it can start to at least meet sales expectations. Estimates are 80,000 for 2016, not completely out of its reach as it sold 17,400 last quarter. In order to meet that goal, Musk can start by not canceling orders for the sake of his own ego. The big potential catalyst, however, may be successfully bagging a Michigan State dealership license.

That may seem relatively minor, but it would in fact be huge not just for Tesla, but for all car companies. Tesla applied for the license on February 1, according to the Wall Street Journal, and successfully getting it would be a sign of tacit approval for direct-to-consumer sales, which really is not so much to ask for a company struggling to break even that cannot afford to give big cuts to independent dealers benefiting from government protectionism. If Tesla can get the license, other car companies will want it too and may succeed on precedent. One good sign is that a bill was introduced in the Michigan State Senate on Tuesday that proposes to allow direct-to-consumer car sales. The Michigan Secretary of State Office says it will take a month to rule on Tesla’s application in the meantime.

The move is a bold one by Tesla, going right into the heart of General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) and Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) territory. If one month from now market sentiment recovers, bottom lines become less important again and Tesla gets that coveted license, then that is the best chance for Tesla’s shares to rebound. Until then though, expect a steady stream of new 52-week lows.

Smart Investors Are Quietly Loading Up on These “Dividend Legends” (Sponsored)

If you want your portfolio to pay you cash like clockwork, it’s time to stop blindly following conventional wisdom like relying on Dividend Aristocrats. There’s a better option, and we want to show you. We’re offering a brand-new report on 2 stocks we believe offer the rare combination of a high dividend yield and significant stock appreciation upside. If you’re tired of feeling one step behind in this market, this free report is a must-read for you.

Click here to download your FREE copy of “2 Dividend Legends to Hold Forever” and start improving your portfolio today.

Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.