Investing

Rumble Stock Price Prediction in 2030: Bull, Base & Bear Forecasts

Sam Daodu

Published: April 25, 2024 11:56 am

Rumble Inc. (Nasdaq: RUM) came as a solution to Google’s YouTube and its goal was to promote and support free speech. After transitioning from being privately traded to publicly traded in September 2022, Rumble was valued at $2.6 billion. 

The valuation sparked interest among investors but there was a catch; the valuation was significantly contradictory to Rumble’s actual revenue which, at that time, sat under the $10 million mark. Rumble’s media attention, amongst other factors, has made the RUM stock pretty volatile, making it essential to analyze Rumble’s future price projections before investing, and we’ve done all the hard work for you. 

Rumble’s Revenue Growth in the Last Few Years

Source: Thapana_Studio / Shutterstock.com

Rumble has witnessed a steady growth in revenue as it exploded by 106% in 2023, totaling $81 million. This expansion speaks to the platform’s expanding user base as well as the successful launch of the Rumble Cloud which is poised to be a significant achievement for the firm. On the one hand, the production of custom content and programming were major drivers of the high costs as the 4th quarter saw a 68% increase in programming and content expenses to $39.5 million. This contributed to a net loss of over $29.3 million during the same period.

The company was able to generate $232.2 million more revenue compared to the previous year, but Rumble Inc. still reported a net loss of $116.4 million for the full year, compared to the net loss of $11.4 million in the previous year. By December 31, 2021, Rumble’s balanced sheet remained king with $218.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, and $1.1 million in marketable securities. G&A expenses went slightly down by 3% to $9.6 million, while R&D expenses jumped by 39% to $3.6 million, revealing increased funding for innovation.

The costs of sales and marketing also went up by 18% from the $3.2 million accrued the previous year, as the effort to grow subscribers and capture market share intensified. The firm’s strategic focus on the build-out of infrastructure and product maturity has resulted in an expansion in user base and revenue incremental.  Nevertheless, despite being in a position of optimistic profit, the enterprise’s goal to be viable financially is yet to be achieved as its expenses outweigh the profits, causing a larger loss. The management envisions a favorable scenario, stepping forward with monetization as the endpoint of the company aiming at breaking even by 2025.

Rumble’s trajectory in 2024 commenced at the price of $4.49 and is currently at around $6.10, demonstrating a rise of as much as 36% since the beginning of the year. As we look forward, we expect the end-year price to reach $9.37 in the next year, which indicates a very strong 109% YoY growth.

4 Key Factors Driving Rumble’s Stock Until 2030

Source: Monster Ztudio / Shutterstock.com

• Partnerships: Rumble has seen its stock prices soar by the recent declarations of a partnership with Barstool Sports and its live-streaming products being launched. The results of these two measures amassed to an 81.56% increase in Rumble’s stock value — showing how crucial strategic partnerships and product launches impact the publicity of the company’s stock.
• Market Responsiveness: The market’s positive reaction to Rumble is driven by impactful news events and strategic developments, rather than solely financial metrics. The responsiveness underscores Rumble’s ability to captivate investor attention and inspire confidence in its long-term growth prospects, positioning it as an attractive investment opportunity.
• Innovative Product Launches: The launch of new products, such as Rumble’s live-streaming platform, has gained tremendous attention from potential investors. These technological innovations reflect Rumble’s passion for being ahead of the curve and offer new alternatives to market trends which in turn increases Rumble’s investor appeal.
• Robust User Growth: The fiscal performance of Rumble has been exemplary, the diversified impressions of monthly active users rose by 142%, from 80 million in Q4 2022, which is considered as a better indicator for a solid market penetration and user engagement. These are strong metrics, which show Rumble’s potential to expand its customer base and to become a stable element for further investors’ reputation.

Rumble Stock Price Prediction in 2030: Bull, Base & Bear Forecasts

Source: Travis Wolfe / Shutterstock.com

1. Bull Forecast: The highest forecast for Rumble’s stock price in 2030 is $18.38.
2. Base Forecast: The average price target for Rumble’s stock price in 2030 is $11.90, based on the average of analyst price targets.
3. Bear Forecast: The lowest forecast for Rumble’s stock price in 2030 is $8.5339.

Bull Forecast for Rumble Price to 2030

Factors fueling the bullish forecast:

1. Increased Demand for Rumble’s Platform: Rumble’s user base and engagement continue to grow, driven by increasing demand for alternative social media platforms that prioritize free speech and user privacy. This growth in user base and engagement leads to increased ad revenue and higher stock prices.
2. Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Rumble enters into strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand its reach and capabilities, further solidifying its position as a viable alternative to mainstream social media platforms.
3. Regulatory Support: Rumble benefits from regulatory support, as governments around the world increasingly recognize the importance of preserving free speech and user privacy in the digital age.
4. Technological Advancements: Rumble continues to innovate and improve its platform, offering new features and capabilities that further differentiate it from competitors and attract new users.

Our bull case scenario sees the company’s earnings and revenue grow by +201% and 28.8% per annum, respectively, while EPS is expected to grow by 59.3% per annum. Rumble reaches $18.38 by 2030. 

Bear Forecast for Rumble Price to 2030

1. Competition: Rumble faces significant competition from both established social media giants and emerging alternative platforms. It must continue to differentiate itself and offer unique value to users in order to maintain and grow its market share.
2. Regulatory Risks: While regulatory support could be a positive factor for Rumble, regulatory risks also exist. Governments may impose new regulations that impact Rumble’s business model or user base.
3. User Engagement: While Rumble’s user base may be growing, it is important to consider user engagement. If users are not actively engaging with the platform, ad revenue may not be sufficient to support the company’s growth.
4. Technological Challenges: Rumble still has to fine-tune its platform and make improvements to become unique in the market. Technological challenges, like security breaches or platform failures, could result in the deterioration of the company’s reputation or the decline in the number of users.
5. Economic Factors: Economic factors, such as a recession or inflation, could impact Rumble’s ad revenue and stock prices. It is important to consider the broader economic context in which Rumble operates.

Analysts seeing RUM staying unprofitable over the next 3 years may affect the Company’s stock price in a negative way. And in our possible bear case, we see Rumble at $8.54.