The prior ‘on-the-run” 10-Year was trading at 1.51% or so today, but the new auction went off at an amazing 1.459%. The bid-to-cover ratio was extremely high all the way up at 3.61% versus an average of 3.07 for 10-Year Treasuries. Another key metric was indirect 40.6% and direct bids were over 45%, which is the highest direct bidding we have seen.
Keep in mind that the previous 10-Year Treasury auction went off at about 1.62% with a bid-to-cover ratio of only 3.06 at the time. This is fear of a global recession driving interest in U.S. Treasury debt. The good news is that you can qualify for a housing mortgage then you are likely looking at record-low rates on 15-year and 30-year mortgages.
The iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NYSEMKT: TLT) exchange-traded product is now up 0.23% at $128.74 on the news. Also the iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury (NYSEMKT: IEF) exchange-traded product is up by $0.07 at $109.09. Even the PIMCO Total Return ETF (NYSEMKT: BOND) ticked back up and is trading up $0.07 at $106.53.
JON C. OGG