Consumer Sentiment Makes Big Move Higher in July

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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The Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is an index that we maintain is not as accurate nor as fair as most economic reports. After all, it is sold as a subscription and it was being given to high-frequency traders at a very slight head start to other subscribers. That being said, this is a current month report and investors pay attention to the report. Today’s report is the July revision report.

Consumer sentiment came in at a revised 85.1, well above the consensus estimates and above the preliminary report. Bloomberg had the consensus at 84.0, versus the preliminary reading two weeks ago that came in at 83.9 and the final June figure of 84.1.

A prior weakness had been seen in the expectations component of this report, which is odd considering that the jobs have held and the stock market keeps hitting new highs.

We usually do not pay much attention to the revision reports, but this was surprisingly higher than expected, and it came at a time when the bias might have been softer rather than stronger.

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. www.247wallst.com.

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