GDP

Fitch Quantifies GDP Growth Damage for 2020 If More Tariffs Come

It is not at all unusual for economists and market watchers to worry about trade tensions escalating. Where things break apart between the glass viewed as half-empty or half-full is ...
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Fed Models Suddenly Call for Stronger Than Expected GDP Growth

With all the media's calls for a recession in the coming quarters, the public frequently gets very mixed information and opinions about the real state of the economy. The first ...
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Why NABE Thinks a Recession Is Off the Menu in 2019

The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) released its survey for the month of May, and despite overarching concerns about recession and trade wars, the panel saw a favorable outlook ...
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Atlanta and New York Federal Reserve Banks Point to Much Slower GDP Trends

The first quarter of 2019 was a serious surprise in growth, with gross domestic product coming in at 3.1%. While it was revised down from the first preliminary reading of ...
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Opinions Grow That Trade War Will Hit US Growth

A number of analysts have looked at what the huge trade war between China and the United States will do to the growth of the two nations and the world ...
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Weak Retail Sales May Sour GDP Growth Targets for the Second Quarter of 2019

Retail sales are often volatile on a monthly reporting basis, and the markets are getting to deal with a fresh round of negative news when it comes to the consumer ...
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Tariffs Are Much Worse for China Than US and This Is Why

It is without a doubt that the two bombshell tweets from President Donald Trump on Sunday indicated that the trade talks on tariffs and intellectual property issues had gone way ...
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China Trade War’s Rapid Route to Recession

President Trump tweeted that the Chinese had not done enough to settle a trade war with the United States. His plan, according to his tweets, is to lift 10% tariffs, ...
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Strong 3.2% GDP Growth in Q1 Creates Confusion for Bulls and Bears Alike

The economy is running much hotter than economists, investors and Federal Reserve officials would have guessed. Real gross domestic product (GDP) rose by an annualized rate of 3.2% during the ...
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China Economy Expands at 6.4% as Strong Growth Holds

Many experts believed a trade war with the United States would dampen China's economic growth. They were wrong. It grew by 6.4% in the first quarter, a sign that the ...
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China’s Manufacturing Gains Also Brings Gains in Employment Numbers

Is China's rapid economic slowdown already back to recovering? A new report showed that its manufacturing activity unexpectedly expanded in March to the fastest growth in eight months. It always ...
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Q4 GDP Weaker Than Original Projections

The U.S. Department of Commerce has released an updated view on fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP). As expected, the biggest measurement of economic growth was revised down to 2.2% from ...
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Jerome Powell and FOMC Tell the Markets They Are Out of the Rate-Hiking Business

  If you read our recent preview for the FOMC meeting, you wouldn't be too shocked that the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) didn't raise interest rates ...
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This Nation’s Massive Economy Could Be Heading Toward Recession

China's trade data came out today. It showed exports fell 20% in February, which one expert called a "trade recession." Since it is the world's second-largest country by gross domestic ...
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Bull Market Celebrates 10 Years, Up 300%

The Dow Jones industrial average hit 6,443.27 on March 9, 2009. It had lost 54% of its value from October 9, 2007, which was the previous high, crippled by the ...
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