Special Report

COVID-19: The Villages, FL Metro Area Among the Safest in America

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The U.S. reported over 434,000 new cases of coronavirus over the seven days ending May 8, bringing the total count to more than 80.8 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 989,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 18.2 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 14.6 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of COVID-19 grew at an average rate of 20.7 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 19.8% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The The Villages, FL metro area consists of just Sumter County. As of May 8, there were 17,788.1 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 The Villages residents, the 15th lowest rate of all 383 metro areas with available data. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 25,040.0 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the The Villages metro area, unemployment peaked at 12.5% in April 2020. As of November 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 5.7%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the The Villages, FL metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Florida where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of May 8 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of May 8 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of May 8 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of May 8 per 100,000 residents
33100 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL 6,090,660 2,195,952 36,054.4 21,810 358.1
45220 Tallahassee, FL 382,197 113,866 29,792.5 1,052 275.3
29460 Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL 686,218 202,030 29,441.1 2,989 435.6
36740 Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 2,508,970 689,873 27,496.3 6,574 262.0
27260 Jacksonville, FL 1,503,574 403,830 26,858.0 5,262 350.0
37860 Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL 488,246 130,517 26,731.8 1,931 395.5
15980 Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL 737,468 193,401 26,225.0 2,156 292.4
23540 Gainesville, FL 323,799 83,824 25,887.7 926 286.0
37460 Panama City, FL 182,161 46,666 25,618.0 825 452.9
18880 Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL 272,056 69,171 25,425.3 897 329.7
45300 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 3,097,859 759,004 24,500.9 10,123 326.8
36100 Ocala, FL 353,526 83,978 23,754.4 2,099 593.7
35840 North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL 803,709 189,744 23,608.5 3,045 378.9
42700 Sebring-Avon Park, FL 103,437 24,311 23,503.2 685 662.2
34940 Naples-Marco Island, FL 371,453 86,098 23,178.7 998 268.7
37340 Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL 585,507 135,615 23,162.0 2,097 358.2
38940 Port St. Lucie, FL 472,012 105,958 22,448.2 1,834 388.5
19660 Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL 646,288 141,003 21,817.4 2,345 362.8
42680 Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL 153,989 33,092 21,489.8 652 423.4
26140 Homosassa Springs, FL 145,169 29,934 20,620.1 976 672.3
39460 Punta Gorda, FL 181,067 36,496 20,156.1 810 447.3
45540 The Villages, FL 125,044 22,243 17,788.1 574 459.0

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