Why Twin Falls, Idaho is More Dangerous Than Most U.S. Cities

Samuel Stebbins

Published: November 17, 2020 7:01 pm

Cities across the United States have been reporting a spike in gun violence and homicide during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first six months of 2020, there was a nearly 15% increase in murders nationwide, and across a sample of 59 cities tracked by the FBI, the number of murders was up 28% from January through July compared to the same period in 2019, according to The New York Times.

The increase reflects a sudden reversal of a longer-term trend, as violent crime has fallen in the U.S. for four consecutive years. There were 367 violent crimes reported for every 100,000 people in the United States in 2019, a low not seen since 2014 and a far cry from the highs of the early 1990s, when rates topped 750 violent crimes per 100,000 people annually.

Violent crime is a broad category of offenses comprising four sub categories: murder, robbery, rape, and aggravated assault. In Twin Falls, Idaho, violent crime is slightly more common than it is nationwide. In 2019, the most recent year of available data, there were a total of 201 violent crimes reported in the city — or 398 for every 100,000 people. Click here to see the full crime report for Twin Falls.

The FBI tracked violent crime in 4,548 U.S. cities with populations of at least 5,000 in 2019, and 98% of those cities reported at least one violent crime that year. Of the 4,473 cities to report one or more incidents of violence, Twin Falls ranks No. 1,020 by violent crime rate, which ranks it in the top 25% most violent U.S. cities.

Although violent crime is more common in Twin Falls than it is nationwide, violent crime is less common in Idaho than it is nationwide. There were a total of 4,000 violent crimes reported in Idaho in 2019, or 224 for every 100,000 people. Of all 50 states, Idaho has the 10th lowest violent crime rate.

The violent crime rate in Twin Falls ranks as No. 3 of the 26 cities in Idaho that are home to at least 5,000 people for which the FBI has data.

Across the United States, aggravated assault is the most common form of violent crime. Of the 1.2 million violent crimes committed in the U.S. in 2019, about 66% were incidents of aggravated assault. In Twin Falls, aggravated assault accounted for 81% of all reported violent crimes in 2019.

Of the four types of violent crime, murder ranks the highest on the FBI’s hierarchy of crime severity. Twin Falls, a city of about 50,500 residents, there was one murder committed in 2019, or 2 for every 100,000 people. The national murder rate stands at five incidents for every 100,000 people.

The relationship between economic distress and crime in a given area is not direct. However, lower-income areas often report higher than average crime rates. There are exceptions to this pattern however, and though the violent crime rate is higher than the national average in Twin Falls, the poverty rate is not. An estimated 13.8% of Twin Falls residents live below the poverty line, closely in line with the 14.1% U.S. poverty rate.

Violent offenses are just one component of crime in an area. To provide a more comprehensive view of overall crime levels across the country, 24/7 Wall St. recently published extensive crime reports with data visualizations for over 4,000 cities and all 50 states. Click here to see the complete crime report for Twin Falls here.